TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110127
Played Sep 11Finished
Tomas Dousa
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171210119––––
Jiri Plachy
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Plachy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Dousa above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 60 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Jiri Plachy at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousa 31–39 Jiri Plachy Tomas Dousa has won 31 of their 70 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 2h before this match
Dousa beat Plachy 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:23What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Plachy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-39 in 70
Plachy
Wrong
gap of 8 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousa 1544 vs Plachy 1429
Dousa
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousa 40% vs Plachy 20%
Dousa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousa 50% vs Plachy 20%
Dousa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousa +1 · Plachy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Plachy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousa 1.83 / Plachy 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Plachy)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110127
Dousa1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Plachy1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDousa7wins
AwayPlachy3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDousa leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousa100%4 of 4
AwayPlachy50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousa4Plachy6n = 10Plachy took 6 of 10
S2Dousa7Plachy3n = 10Dousa took 7 of 10
S3Dousa5Plachy5n = 10split evenly
S4Dousa7Plachy0n = 7Dousa took 7 of 7
S5Dousa2Plachy2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDousaPlachyD − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.338.9+1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousaPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 703 vs 740 / 160349.5%46.2%348 / 703 vs 740 / 1603Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlachyDousa 1.83/Plachy 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Plachy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dousa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 20:58T. Dousa4391112113J. Plachy381191081
WSep 11 · 18:30T. Dousa4181111113J. Plachy36118981
WSep 8 · 18:30T. Dousa3712212113J. Plachy3610111051
LSep 8 · 14:30T. Dousa4241181182J. Plachy44113118113
WAug 27 · 16:00T. Dousa391115133J. Plachy33913110
LJul 20 · 20:58T. Dousa2697100J. Plachy341111123
WJul 20 · 18:30T. Dousa50118911113J. Plachy4891111982
WMay 18 · 16:58T. Dousa50911613113J. Plachy51119111192
LMay 18 · 14:30T. Dousa40101121162J. Plachy46126116113
WMay 16 · 01:30T. Dousa351311113J. Plachy2311840
T. Dousa10
LSep 12 · 03:30T. Janata1.5261111113T. Dousa2.35119991LSep 12 · 01:30T. Dousa2.381011911112T. Janata1.53127118133WSep 12 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk2.63121155122T. Dousa1.441041111143LSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142WSep 11 · 20:58T. Dousa2.1091112113J. Plachy1.671191081LSep 11 · 20:00T. Janata1.50811611143T. Dousa2.50119115122LSep 11 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.00971111113T. Dousa1.7311116992WSep 11 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8381111113J. Plachy1.83118981LSep 10 · 16:59T. Dousa3.508990M. Sedlak1.281111113LSep 10 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.4012411143T. Dousa2.7510116121
J. Plachy10
WSep 12 · 02:00J. Plachy1.5711118113Y. Holovatiuk2.25471141LSep 12 · 01:00J. Plachy1.8051461192J. Dedek1.911112115113LSep 12 · 24:00T. Janata1.501112113J. Plachy2.5081090LSep 11 · 20:58T. Dousa2.1091112113J. Plachy1.671191081WSep 11 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.911112951J. Plachy1.8091411113LSep 11 · 19:30J. Plachy2.5010121031T. Janata1.50121012113LSep 11 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8381111113J. Plachy1.83118981LSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111LSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122LSep 8 · 19:30J. Plachy1.8091110101J. Prokupek1.9111712123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.