TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13118489
Played Sep 12Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.52
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611119119119––
Tomas Dousa
Away
2.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:02 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Tomas Dousa below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Janata at 64.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 20–8 Tomas Dousa Tomas Dousa has won 8 of their 28 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 2h before this match
Janata beat Dousa 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:02What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-8 in 28
Janata
Correct
gap of 12 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1577 vs Dousa 1548
Janata
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 100% vs Dousa 60%
Janata
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 70% vs Dousa 40%
Janata
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata +5 · Dousa -1
Janata
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.52 / Dousa 2.35
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Janata)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13118489
Janata1.52
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 110 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it74% 77 of 104
Dousa2.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 53 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back22% 16 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJanata9wins
AwayDousa1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJanata leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata85.7%6 of 7
AwayDousa0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata7Dousa3n = 10Janata took 7 of 10
S2Janata6Dousa4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S3Janata6Dousa4n = 10Janata took 6 of 10
S4Janata6Dousa3n = 9Janata took 6 of 9
S5Janata4Dousa1n = 5Janata took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJanataDousaJ − DBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.737.5+5.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataDousaBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 827 vs 350 / 70752.6%49.5%435 / 827 vs 350 / 707Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.52/Dousa 2.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.3%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 01:30T. Janata—127118133T. Dousa—1011911112
WSep 11 · 20:00T. Janata—811611143T. Dousa—119115122
WJun 23 · 19:30T. Janata—11311113T. Dousa—711481
WJun 11 · 21:00T. Janata—11114113T. Dousa—891171
LJun 11 · 20:00T. Janata—11691292T. Dousa—9111110113
WJun 1 · 20:00T. Janata—911119113T. Dousa—11681172
WJun 1 · 16:00T. Janata—1111113T. Dousa—3760
WApr 10 · 17:29T. Janata—111185113T. Dousa—49111172
WApr 10 · 15:30T. Janata—11611113T. Dousa—711351
WApr 8 · 15:30T. Janata—41111113T. Dousa—117491
T. Janata10
WSep 12 · 02:30T. Janata1.40711611113J. Dedek2.7511711662WSep 12 · 01:30T. Dousa2.381011911112T. Janata1.53127118133WSep 12 · 24:00T. Janata1.501112113J. Plachy2.5081090WSep 11 · 23:00Y. Holovatiuk3.501081121T. Janata1.2812119113WSep 11 · 21:28J. Prokupek2.0081131152T. Janata1.73119116113WSep 11 · 20:00T. Janata1.50811611143T. Dousa2.50119115122WSep 11 · 19:30J. Plachy2.5010121031T. Janata1.50121012113LSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Janata1.536111161L. Krticka2.3811713113LSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113
T. Dousa10
LSep 12 · 01:30T. Dousa2.381011911112T. Janata1.53127118133WSep 12 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk2.63121155122T. Dousa1.441041111143LSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142WSep 11 · 22:30T. Dousa1.831112113J. Plachy1.8371090WSep 11 · 20:58T. Dousa2.1091112113J. Plachy1.671191081LSep 11 · 20:00T. Janata1.50811611143T. Dousa2.50119115122LSep 11 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.00971111113T. Dousa1.7311116992WSep 11 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8381111113J. Plachy1.83118981LSep 10 · 16:59T. Dousa3.508990M. Sedlak1.281111113LSep 10 · 16:30M. Sedlak1.4012411143T. Dousa2.7510116121
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