TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13108746
Played Sep 12Finished
Tomas Janata
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711117611116116
Jiri Dedek
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Janata above · Jiri Dedek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 87 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Janata 6–2 Jiri Dedek Jiri Dedek has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Janata
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Janata 1568 vs Dedek 1528
Janata
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Janata 100% vs Dedek 80%
Janata
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Janata 60% vs Dedek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Janata +5 · Dedek +2
Janata
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Janata) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dedek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJanata 1.40 / Dedek 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Janata)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13108746
Janata1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 110 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it74% 77 of 104
Dedek2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 83 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back23% 31 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeJanata6wins
AwayDedek2wins
2 of 8 to a deciderJanata leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJanata100%3 of 3
AwayDedek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Janata3Dedek5n = 8Dedek took 5 of 8
S2Janata6Dedek2n = 8Janata took 6 of 8
S3Janata5Dedek3n = 8Janata took 5 of 8
S4Janata5Dedek1n = 6Janata took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricJanataDedekJ − DBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match39.933.2+6.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJanataDedekBasisWin rate · lifetime434 / 826 vs 486 / 93752.5%51.9%434 / 826 vs 486 / 937Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataJanata 1.40/Dedek 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJan 30 · 16:00T. Janata—111187113J. Dedek—58111152
WJan 28 · 03:30T. Janata—61111113J. Dedek—116881
WDec 3 · 24:00T. Janata—11911113J. Dedek—711451
LNov 26 · 18:30T. Janata—11650J. Dedek—1311113
WNov 26 · 15:00T. Janata—101111113J. Dedek—129751
LNov 11 · 23:30T. Janata—51191192J. Dedek—114118103
WJul 16 · 21:05T. Janata—1411113J. Dedek—12660
WJul 16 · 19:30T. Janata—91111133J. Dedek—1144111
T. Janata10
WSep 12 · 03:30T. Janata1.5261111113T. Dousa2.35119991WSep 12 · 01:30T. Dousa2.381011911112T. Janata1.53127118133WSep 12 · 24:00T. Janata1.501112113J. Plachy2.5081090WSep 11 · 23:00Y. Holovatiuk3.501081121T. Janata1.2812119113WSep 11 · 21:28J. Prokupek2.0081131152T. Janata1.73119116113WSep 11 · 20:00T. Janata1.50811611143T. Dousa2.50119115122WSep 11 · 19:30J. Plachy2.5010121031T. Janata1.50121012113LSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Janata1.536111161L. Krticka2.3811713113LSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113
J. Dedek10
WSep 12 · 03:00J. Dedek1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.632550WSep 12 · 01:00J. Plachy1.8051461192J. Dedek1.911112115113WSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142LSep 11 · 22:00J. Dedek1.4091161132Y. Holovatiuk2.75115113113WSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950WSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112WSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113WSep 11 · 10:00J. Dedek1.3011116113M. Svedik3.40641131LSep 10 · 13:00M. Kolar1.611111113J. Dedek2.207890LSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113
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