TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13110132
Played Sep 11Finished
Yurii Holovatiuk
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012811119211––
Tomas Janata
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:23 and never touched — 74.3% is still 74.3%
Graded at full timeTomas Janata to win
74.3%
74.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYurii Holovatiuk above · Tomas Janata below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 74 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Tomas Janata at 74.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Holovatiuk 2–7 Tomas Janata Yurii Holovatiuk has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Janata
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Janata
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holovatiuk 1513 vs Janata 1548
Janata
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holovatiuk 80% vs Janata 60%
Holovatiuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holovatiuk 50% vs Janata 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holovatiuk +4 · Janata +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Janata)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Janata form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolovatiuk 3.50 / Janata 1.28
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Janata)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13110132
Holovatiuk3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 61 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back16% 15 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 64
Janata1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 110 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it74% 77 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeHolovatiuk2wins
AwayJanata7wins
1 of 9 to a deciderJanata leads 7–2, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolovatiukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayJanata87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holovatiuk1Janata8n = 9Janata took 8 of 9
S2Holovatiuk2Janata7n = 9Janata took 7 of 9
S3Holovatiuk6Janata3n = 9Holovatiuk took 6 of 9
S4Holovatiuk3Janata4n = 7Janata took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricHolovatiukJanataH − JBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set18−7of 9Avg pointsper match34.338.8−4.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolovatiukJanataBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 683 vs 432 / 82449.9%52.4%341 / 683 vs 432 / 824Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JanataHolovatiuk 3.50/Janata 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Janata · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Janata won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 11 · 23:00Y. Holovatiuk311081121T. Janata4312119113
LDec 20 · 19:00Y. Holovatiuk351191141T. Janata3613111113
LApr 25 · 22:00Y. Holovatiuk237790T. Janata331111113
WApr 23 · 22:30Y. Holovatiuk48101215113T. Janata4412101391
WApr 20 · 01:00Y. Holovatiuk4111711123T. Janata334118101
LApr 8 · 02:30Y. Holovatiuk208570T. Janata331111113
LJan 11 · 24:00Y. Holovatiuk32611691T. Janata3711411113
LJan 9 · 01:00Y. Holovatiuk379511121T. Janata3811112143
LJan 4 · 03:30Y. Holovatiuk4256121182T. Janata521111109113
Y. Holovatiuk10
LSep 12 · 03:00J. Dedek1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.632550LSep 12 · 02:00J. Plachy1.5711118113Y. Holovatiuk2.25471141LSep 12 · 24:30Y. Holovatiuk2.63121155122T. Dousa1.441041111143WSep 11 · 22:00J. Dedek1.4091161132Y. Holovatiuk2.75115113113WSep 10 · 20:58Y. Holovatiuk1.831111113J. Jnr1.839890WSep 10 · 20:00J. Jnr1.6188120Y. Holovatiuk2.201111143WSep 10 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761151162Y. Holovatiuk2.10116116113LSep 10 · 18:30Y. Holovatiuk2.50911831L. Krok1.5011811113LSep 8 · 21:00Y. Holovatiuk1.834980J. Jnr1.831111113LSep 8 · 20:00L. Krok1.571111113Y. Holovatiuk2.255570
T. Janata10
WSep 12 · 03:30T. Janata1.5261111113T. Dousa2.35119991WSep 12 · 02:30T. Janata1.40711611113J. Dedek2.7511711662WSep 12 · 01:30T. Dousa2.381011911112T. Janata1.53127118133WSep 12 · 24:00T. Janata1.501112113J. Plachy2.5081090WSep 11 · 21:28J. Prokupek2.0081131152T. Janata1.73119116113WSep 11 · 20:00T. Janata1.50811611143T. Dousa2.50119115122WSep 11 · 19:30J. Plachy2.5010121031T. Janata1.50121012113LSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113LSep 7 · 21:00T. Janata1.536111161L. Krticka2.3811713113LSep 7 · 20:00T. Janata1.40591351M. Vedmoch2.75111111113
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