TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124845
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Vinter
Home
1.77
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8116111171191210
Jaroslav Prokupek
Away
1.93
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:11 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Vinter to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Vinter above · Jaroslav Prokupek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 96 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Vinter at 62.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vinter 10–10 Jaroslav Prokupek Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Vinter
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-10 in 20
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vinter 1575 vs Prokupek 1527
Vinter
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vinter 100% vs Prokupek 40%
Vinter
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vinter 80% vs Prokupek 50%
Vinter
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vinter +5 · Prokupek -1
Vinter
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vinter) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVinter 1.77 / Prokupek 1.93
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vinter)+1.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124845
Vinter1.77
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite53% won 70 of 132
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it81% 58 of 72
Prokupek1.93
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 91 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back17% 19 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVinter7wins
AwayProkupek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVinter leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVinter100%6 of 6
AwayProkupek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vinter6Prokupek4n = 10Vinter took 6 of 10
S2Vinter5Prokupek5n = 10split evenly
S3Vinter7Prokupek3n = 10Vinter took 7 of 10
S4Vinter6Prokupek3n = 9Vinter took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVinterProkupekV − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.336.8+4.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVinterProkupekBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 525 vs 653 / 137250.7%47.6%266 / 525 vs 653 / 1372Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinterVinter 1.77/Prokupek 1.93
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vinter · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vinter won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter45111211113J. Prokupek31314951
LJun 2 · 18:00T. Vinter30941161J. Prokupek4111118113
WMay 30 · 15:30T. Vinter45111112113J. Prokupek35871461
LMay 23 · 14:00T. Vinter35651681J. Prokupek47111114113
WMay 21 · 13:30T. Vinter53125914133J. Prokupek5510111112112
WMay 21 · 12:30T. Vinter341211113J. Prokupek2110740
LMay 15 · 08:00T. Vinter4481111952J. Prokupek42117211113
WMay 14 · 14:00T. Vinter47121113113J. Prokupek341441151
WSep 4 · 06:00T. Vinter3711411113J. Prokupek28911621
WAug 26 · 09:30T. Vinter43111110113J. Prokupek34771281
T. Vinter10
WSep 13 · 12:00T. Vinter1.361111113F. Jungman3.005790WSep 13 · 11:30K. Darin3.5010960T. Vinter1.281211113WSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter1.53111211113J. Prokupek2.38314951WSep 10 · 13:30T. Vinter1.601111113V. Postelt2.206870WSep 10 · 12:00J. Dedek1.916660T. Vinter1.801111113WSep 10 · 11:00M. Kolar2.2012840T. Vinter1.611411113WSep 10 · 10:30T. Vinter1.731111113V. Postelt2.009860WSep 10 · 08:58T. Vinter1.7311711123M. Vesely2.002116101WSep 10 · 08:30T. Vinter2.0011811113M. Vesely1.73511641LSep 10 · 07:00T. Vinter2.0344111172J. Svoboda1.62111148113
J. Prokupek10
LSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.5015661192K. Darin2.501311111113WSep 13 · 11:00J. Prokupek1.67511311113F. Jungman2.1011911982LSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter1.53111211113J. Prokupek2.38314951LSep 11 · 21:28J. Prokupek2.0081131152T. Janata1.73119116113LSep 11 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.911112951J. Plachy1.8091411113WSep 11 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.00971111113T. Dousa1.7311116992WSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113LSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113WSep 10 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.671191111113L. Krok2.1041113652LSep 10 · 19:00J. Prokupek1.6761151162Y. Holovatiuk2.10116116113
Upcoming Matches
T. Vinter
Nothing scheduled
J. Prokupek2 of 7 neutral
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