TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120717
Played Sep 13Finished
Jiri Dedek
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116117811115––
Pavel Fojt
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:59 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeJiri Dedek to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Dedek above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jiri Dedek at 70.4%
70 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Dedek 41–18 Pavel Fojt Pavel Fojt has won 18 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:59What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Dedek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-18 in 59
Dedek
Correct
gap of 23 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dedek 1512 vs Fojt 1484
Dedek
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dedek 80% vs Fojt 40%
Dedek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dedek 80% vs Fojt 40%
Dedek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dedek +2 · Fojt -3
Fojt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Dedek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDedek 1.36 / Fojt 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Dedek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120717
Dedek1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 145 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it98% 84 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it81% 108 of 134
Fojt3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 59 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back21% 20 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDedek7wins
AwayFojt3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDedek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDedek85.7%6 of 7
AwayFojt66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dedek7Fojt3n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S2Dedek7Fojt3n = 10Dedek took 7 of 10
S3Dedek5Fojt5n = 10split evenly
S4Dedek4Fojt1n = 5Dedek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDedekFojtD − FBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.529.7+6.8per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDedekFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime483 / 931 vs 351 / 71851.9%48.9%483 / 931 vs 351 / 718Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DedekDedek 1.36/Fojt 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Dedek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dedek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek341112113P. Fojt1851030
LSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek41611111122P. Fojt39111331113
WAug 20 · 22:00J. Dedek331111113P. Fojt205690
LAug 16 · 23:30J. Dedek219660P. Fojt331111113
WAug 13 · 19:30J. Dedek341211113P. Fojt2510960
WAug 5 · 20:58J. Dedek45111211113P. Fojt304101331
WAug 5 · 20:30J. Dedek511011811113P. Fojt4212711392
LJul 30 · 18:30J. Dedek29126381P. Fojt43101111113
WJul 27 · 20:30J. Dedek44111111113P. Fojt32761361
WJul 26 · 01:00J. Dedek331111113P. Fojt157440
J. Dedek10
WSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992WSep 12 · 03:00J. Dedek1.441111113Y. Holovatiuk2.632550LSep 12 · 02:30T. Janata1.40711611113J. Dedek2.7511711662WSep 12 · 01:00J. Plachy1.8051461192J. Dedek1.911112115113WSep 11 · 23:30J. Dedek1.83911811163T. Dousa1.83117117142LSep 11 · 22:00J. Dedek1.4091161132Y. Holovatiuk2.75115113113WSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950WSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112WSep 11 · 11:30J. Steffan2.63128721J. Dedek1.44101111113WSep 11 · 10:00J. Dedek1.3011116113M. Svedik3.40641131
P. Fojt10
LSep 13 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831391471J. Plachy1.83111116113LSep 12 · 21:30F. Jungman1.44119911113P. Fojt2.6391111592LSep 12 · 20:00P. Fojt2.108890F. Jungman1.671111113WSep 12 · 19:30M. Placek3.40691191P. Fojt1.3011117113WSep 12 · 18:00P. Fojt1.5351111113F. Briza2.38119761LSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752LSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113WSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162
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