TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13120226
Played Sep 13Finished
Pavel Fojt
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13119111416711––
Jiri Plachy
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:24 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Fojt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Fojt above · Jiri Plachy below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 92 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Pavel Fojt at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fojt 58–55 Jiri Plachy Jiri Plachy has won 55 of their 113 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:24What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Plachy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-55 in 113
Fojt
Wrong
gap of 3 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojt 1499 vs Plachy 1411
Fojt
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojt 40% vs Plachy 20%
Fojt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojt 40% vs Plachy 20%
Fojt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojt -2 · Plachy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fojt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plachy form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojt 1.83 / Plachy 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fojt)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13120226
Fojt1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Plachy1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojt5wins
AwayPlachy5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojt80%4 of 5
AwayPlachy80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojt5Plachy5n = 10split evenly
S2Fojt7Plachy3n = 10Fojt took 7 of 10
S3Fojt1Plachy9n = 10Plachy took 9 of 10
S4Fojt6Plachy3n = 9Fojt took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtPlachyF − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.237.1+0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtPlachyBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 717 vs 741 / 160349%46.2%351 / 717 vs 741 / 1603Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtFojt 1.83/Plachy 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fojt · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Plachy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 19:30P. Fojt4011711113J. Plachy32611871
LAug 3 · 01:30P. Fojt49711121182J. Plachy46111149113
LAug 2 · 20:00P. Fojt34611981J. Plachy4111811113
LJul 23 · 02:59P. Fojt249960J. Plachy331111113
WJul 22 · 22:30P. Fojt3911116113J. Plachy31771161
WJul 20 · 20:30P. Fojt3811115113J. Plachy27481141
WJul 15 · 24:00P. Fojt48611911113J. Plachy4811911892
LJul 13 · 24:00P. Fojt381112871J. Plachy45131011113
WJul 12 · 19:00P. Fojt3611113113J. Plachy31671171
LJul 9 · 03:07P. Fojt26117081J. Plachy3741111113
P. Fojt10
LSep 13 · 23:30J. Dedek1.3611118113P. Fojt3.00671151LSep 12 · 21:30F. Jungman1.44119911113P. Fojt2.6391111592LSep 12 · 20:00P. Fojt2.108890F. Jungman1.671111113WSep 12 · 19:30M. Placek3.40691191P. Fojt1.3011117113WSep 12 · 18:00P. Fojt1.5351111113F. Briza2.38119761LSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752LSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113WSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162
J. Plachy10
WSep 12 · 02:00J. Plachy1.5711118113Y. Holovatiuk2.25471141LSep 12 · 01:00J. Plachy1.8051461192J. Dedek1.911112115113LSep 12 · 24:00T. Janata1.501112113J. Plachy2.5081090LSep 11 · 22:30T. Dousa1.831112113J. Plachy1.8371090LSep 11 · 20:58T. Dousa2.1091112113J. Plachy1.671191081WSep 11 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.911112951J. Plachy1.8091411113LSep 11 · 19:30J. Plachy2.5010121031T. Janata1.50121012113LSep 11 · 18:30T. Dousa1.8381111113J. Plachy1.83118981LSep 8 · 20:59J. Dedek2.2011115133J. Plachy1.614911111LSep 8 · 20:30J. Dedek2.00115116113J. Plachy1.7351171122
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