TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13113992
Played Sep 12Finished
Pavel Fojt
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511119117116––
Frantisek Briza
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Briza to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Fojt above · Frantisek Briza below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 71 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Frantisek Briza at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fojt 19–13 Frantisek Briza Frantisek Briza has won 13 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:05What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Fojt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-13 in 32
Fojt
Correct
gap of 6 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fojt 1511 vs Briza 1477
Fojt
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fojt 40% vs Briza 60%
Briza
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fojt 50% vs Briza 70%
Briza
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fojt -1 · Briza -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Fojt) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briza form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFojt 1.53 / Briza 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Fojt)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13113992
Fojt1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 90 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it80% 62 of 78
Briza2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 81 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back24% 32 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFojt7wins
AwayBriza3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFojt leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFojt75%3 of 4
AwayBriza33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fojt4Briza6n = 10Briza took 6 of 10
S2Fojt7Briza3n = 10Fojt took 7 of 10
S3Fojt5Briza5n = 10split evenly
S4Fojt5Briza3n = 8Fojt took 5 of 8
S5Fojt4Briza1n = 5Fojt took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFojtBrizaF − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.637.9+3.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFojtBrizaBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 722 vs 378 / 82248.9%46%353 / 722 vs 378 / 822Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtFojt 1.53/Briza 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Fojt · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 20 · 23:00P. Fojt47711711113F. Briza4711811892
WApr 18 · 22:30P. Fojt4111118113F. Briza27761131
LApr 15 · 21:00P. Fojt32411981F. Briza4211911113
WApr 15 · 19:30P. Fojt481051111113F. Briza3712113472
LMar 22 · 23:30P. Fojt4811981192F. Briza50911118113
LMar 8 · 21:30P. Fojt33811591F. Briza4211911113
WFeb 24 · 20:30P. Fojt53991113113F. Briza51111191192
WFeb 16 · 24:00P. Fojt331111113F. Briza236890
WJan 25 · 19:30P. Fojt48111111693F. Briza3913261172
WOct 18 · 23:00P. Fojt331111113F. Briza215880
P. Fojt10
LSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752LSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113WSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113WSep 5 · 22:30P. Fojt1.831111113J. Plachy1.838780
F. Briza10
LSep 11 · 03:30K. Darin2.20131011113F. Briza1.601112941WSep 11 · 02:00F. Briza1.73111114123T. Regner2.007516101LSep 11 · 01:00F. Briza1.91841171K. Darin1.8011119113WSep 11 · 24:00R. Bartunek4.003780F. Briza1.221111113WSep 10 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.911120F. Briza1.801111113WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980
Upcoming Matches
P. Fojt
F. Briza
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.