TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13122034
Played Sep 12Finished
Filip Jungman
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911911115119
Pavel Fojt
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:28 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeFilip Jungman to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Jungman above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Filip Jungman at 54.7%
96 points played in total.
H2H Filip Jungman 2–0 Pavel Fojt Pavel Fojt has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Jungman beat Fojt 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jungman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jungman 1504 vs Fojt 1510
Fojt
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jungman 80% vs Fojt 60%
Jungman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jungman 60% vs Fojt 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jungman +4 · Fojt -1
Jungman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Jungman) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojt form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJungman 1.44 / Fojt 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Jungman)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13122034
Jungman1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 46 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it83% 34 of 41
Fojt2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 70 of 172
Down 0–1, comes back21% 21 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJungman2wins
AwayFojt0wins
Jungman leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home2
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJungmanFojtJ − FBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match33.020.5+12.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJungmanFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 175 vs 351 / 71655.4%49%97 / 175 vs 351 / 716Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JungmanJungman 1.44/Fojt 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Jungman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jungman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 12 · 20:00F. Jungman331111113P. Fojt258890
WJun 29 · 02:30F. Jungman331111113P. Fojt164570
F. Jungman10
WSep 12 · 20:00P. Fojt2.108890F. Jungman1.671111113WSep 12 · 19:00F. Briza2.63511461F. Jungman1.4411611113WSep 12 · 18:30F. Jungman1.6771111113M. Placek2.10117991WSep 12 · 17:04F. Jungman1.601211113M. Fisera2.2010780LSep 12 · 16:00F. Jungman1.679211111A. Svoboda2.1011119133WSep 12 · 15:30M. Kolar1.53164981F. Jungman2.38141111113LSep 12 · 14:00F. Jungman1.44911851M. Fisera2.6311611113WSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101LSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931
P. Fojt10
LSep 12 · 20:00P. Fojt2.108890F. Jungman1.671111113WSep 12 · 19:30M. Placek3.40691191P. Fojt1.3011117113WSep 12 · 18:00P. Fojt1.5351111113F. Briza2.38119761LSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752LSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113WSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790
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