TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115121
Played Sep 12Finished
Filip Jungman
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9112111191113––
Adam Svoboda
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeFilip Jungman to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFilip Jungman above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 3-3
Point 59 set 4, 3-3 — our read held Filip Jungman at 55.8%
59 points drawn · the score is 18 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Filip Jungman 2–0 Adam Svoboda Adam Svoboda has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:33What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jungman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jungman 1443 vs Svoboda 1535
Svoboda
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jungman 40% vs Svoboda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jungman 70% vs Svoboda 50%
Jungman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jungman +1 · Svoboda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Jungman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jungman form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJungman 1.67 / Svoboda 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Jungman)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115121
Jungman1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 46 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it83% 34 of 41
Svoboda2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 39 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJungman2wins
AwaySvoboda0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderJungman leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJungmanSvobodaJ − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match46.040.5+5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJungmanSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 170 vs 159 / 30554.7%52.1%93 / 170 vs 159 / 305Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JungmanJungman 1.67/Svoboda 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Jungman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMar 7 · 02:00F. Jungman48611119113A. Svoboda4211991122
WFeb 21 · 03:00F. Jungman44101211113A. Svoboda391210981
F. Jungman10
WSep 12 · 15:30M. Kolar1.53164981F. Jungman2.38141111113LSep 12 · 14:00F. Jungman1.44911851M. Fisera2.6311611113WSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101LSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931WSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123WSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza2.006820F. Jungman1.731111113WSep 6 · 10:30F. Jungman1.5311811113L. Malek2.38711791
A. Svoboda10
WSep 12 · 15:00M. Fisera2.5012813672A. Svoboda1.5010111111113LSep 12 · 14:30A. Svoboda2.38411891M. Kolar1.5311511113LSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950LSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112WSep 11 · 11:00M. Svedik1.53241151A. Svoboda2.3811114113WSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 08:59A. Svoboda1.6171090O. Fejtek2.201112113WSep 11 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113O. Fejtek1.834690LSep 11 · 07:30T. Andrle1.6111116113A. Svoboda2.20961181WSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952
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