TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115407
Played Sep 12Finished
Milan Fisera
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12108111311611711
Adam Svoboda
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Svoboda to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Fisera above · Adam Svoboda below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 100 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Adam Svoboda at 62.5%
100 points played in total.
H2H Milan Fisera 0–1 Adam Svoboda Milan Fisera has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:27What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Fisera 1541 vs Svoboda 1524
Fisera
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fisera 40% vs Svoboda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fisera 70% vs Svoboda 50%
Fisera
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fisera +1 · Svoboda -3
Svoboda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFisera 2.50 / Svoboda 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115407
Fisera2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 20 of 58
Down 0–1, comes back26% 9 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Svoboda1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 66 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeFisera0wins
AwaySvoboda1wins
Svoboda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricFiseraSvobodaF − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match19.033.0−14.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiseraSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 352 vs 158 / 30446.9%52%165 / 352 vs 158 / 304Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaFisera 2.50/Svoboda 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 8 · 19:30M. Fisera199640A. Svoboda331111113
M. Fisera10
WSep 12 · 14:00F. Jungman1.44911851M. Fisera2.6311611113LSep 8 · 20:58T. Regner1.5011811113M. Fisera2.50211391WSep 8 · 20:00M. Fisera2.00111175113O. Fejtek1.7377111192LSep 8 · 19:30A. Svoboda1.531111113M. Fisera2.389640LSep 8 · 18:00M. Fisera2.25101070T. Regner1.571212113WSep 2 · 21:28M. Fisera1.73119118113O. Kucirek2.0081171182WSep 2 · 20:00R. Bartunek2.631111581M. Fisera1.4413811113WSep 2 · 19:00V. Dolezal2.63311971M. Fisera1.4411711113WSep 2 · 18:30M. Fisera1.831111129113O. Kucirek1.8374141112WAug 10 · 21:00M. Fisera1.471111113R. Bartunek2.509560
A. Svoboda10
LSep 12 · 14:30A. Svoboda2.38411891M. Kolar1.5311511113LSep 11 · 13:30J. Dedek1.431111113A. Svoboda2.607950LSep 11 · 12:00J. Dedek1.44117117133A. Svoboda2.63411911112WSep 11 · 11:00M. Svedik1.53241151A. Svoboda2.3811114113WSep 11 · 10:30A. Svoboda2.00271111113J. Steffan1.7311116852LSep 11 · 08:59A. Svoboda1.6171090O. Fejtek2.201112113WSep 11 · 08:00A. Svoboda1.831111113O. Fejtek1.834690LSep 11 · 07:30T. Andrle1.6111116113A. Svoboda2.20961181WSep 11 · 06:00A. Svoboda2.201171011113J. Steffan1.6171112952WSep 8 · 19:30A. Svoboda1.531111113M. Fisera2.389640
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