TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115412
Played Sep 12Finished
Filip Jungman
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711117119119––
Marek Placek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:26 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeFilip Jungman to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Jungman above · Marek Placek below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 76 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Filip Jungman at 58.6%
76 points played in total.
H2H Filip Jungman 2–1 Marek Placek Marek Placek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jungman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jungman 1434 vs Placek 1418
Jungman
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jungman 60% vs Placek 40%
Jungman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jungman 60% vs Placek 30%
Jungman
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jungman +1 · Placek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jungman)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJungman 1.67 / Placek 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Jungman)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115412
Jungman1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 46 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it83% 34 of 41
Placek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 34 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJungman2wins
AwayPlacek1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderJungman leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jungman2Placek1n = 3Jungman took 2 of 3
S2Jungman1Placek2n = 3Placek took 2 of 3
S3Jungman1Placek2n = 3Placek took 2 of 3
S4Jungman2Placek1n = 3Jungman took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJungmanPlacekJ − PBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match43.739.3+4.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJungmanPlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 172 vs 204 / 39554.7%51.7%94 / 172 vs 204 / 395Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JungmanJungman 1.67/Placek 2.10
Hit
What we said
58.6%
Jungman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jungman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 9 · 18:00F. Jungman4181111113M. Placek29116841
WMay 3 · 09:30F. Jungman45115711113M. Placek4471111692
LMay 3 · 07:30F. Jungman45111311101M. Placek4551513123
F. Jungman10
WSep 12 · 17:04F. Jungman1.601211113M. Fisera2.2010780LSep 12 · 16:00F. Jungman1.679211111A. Svoboda2.1011119133WSep 12 · 15:30M. Kolar1.53164981F. Jungman2.38141111113LSep 12 · 14:00F. Jungman1.44911851M. Fisera2.6311611113WSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101LSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931WSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980WSep 6 · 12:00K. Darin1.801111511102F. Jungman1.91281113123
M. Placek10
LSep 8 · 02:58M. Placek1.4411811111O. Vitrovyj2.6341113133WSep 8 · 02:30M. Placek1.801111133O. Vitrovyj1.9179110LSep 8 · 01:30K. Darin1.671111123M. Placek2.1064100LSep 8 · 24:00M. Placek1.40811371J. Steffan2.7511411113WSep 7 · 23:00P. Picek2.63711291M. Placek1.4411911113LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113WSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143LSep 4 · 17:00M. Placek1.831189101K. Darin1.8351111123
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