TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115371
Played Sep 12Finished
Frantisek Briza
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511116411611––
Filip Jungman
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:13 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeFilip Jungman to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Briza above · Filip Jungman below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 65 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Filip Jungman at 64.5%
65 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Briza 5–6 Filip Jungman Frantisek Briza has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jungman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Briza 1457 vs Jungman 1464
Jungman
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Briza 40% vs Jungman 60%
Jungman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Briza 70% vs Jungman 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Briza -2 · Jungman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Jungman) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBriza 2.63 / Jungman 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Jungman)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115371
Briza2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 81 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back24% 32 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 70
Jungman1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 46 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it83% 34 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBriza4wins
AwayJungman6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJungman leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBriza75%3 of 4
AwayJungman83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Briza4Jungman6n = 10Jungman took 6 of 10
S2Briza6Jungman4n = 10Briza took 6 of 10
S3Briza4Jungman6n = 10Jungman took 6 of 10
S4Briza3Jungman2n = 5Briza took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrizaJungmanB − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.133.2+0.9per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrizaJungmanBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 823 vs 95 / 17345.9%54.9%378 / 823 vs 95 / 173Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JungmanBriza 2.63/Jungman 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Jungman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jungman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 13:30F. Briza247980F. Jungman331111113
LSep 6 · 11:00F. Briza166820F. Jungman331111113
LJul 22 · 15:30F. Briza33912661F. Jungman43111011113
LJun 28 · 20:00F. Briza199640F. Jungman331111113
WJun 14 · 15:30F. Briza341211113F. Jungman1810440
WMay 9 · 21:30F. Briza46131111113F. Jungman30154831
WMay 9 · 20:30F. Briza331111113F. Jungman145360
WMay 3 · 10:00F. Briza4011117113F. Jungman33991141
LApr 7 · 09:28F. Briza4261171172F. Jungman45113119113
LApr 7 · 06:30F. Briza5411111110112F. Jungman50713512133
F. Briza10
LSep 12 · 18:00P. Fojt1.5351111113F. Briza2.38119761LSep 11 · 03:30K. Darin2.20131011113F. Briza1.601112941WSep 11 · 02:00F. Briza1.73111114123T. Regner2.007516101LSep 11 · 01:00F. Briza1.91841171K. Darin1.8011119113WSep 11 · 24:00R. Bartunek4.003780F. Briza1.221111113WSep 10 · 22:30O. Vitrovyj1.911120F. Briza1.801111113WSep 6 · 17:30F. Briza1.8012711113J. Novotny1.911011651WSep 6 · 16:00A. Svoboda2.38111112392F. Briza1.53661411113WSep 6 · 15:00J. Novotny2.00411691F. Briza1.7311211113WSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781
F. Jungman10
WSep 12 · 18:30F. Jungman1.6771111113M. Placek2.10117991WSep 12 · 17:04F. Jungman1.601211113M. Fisera2.2010780LSep 12 · 16:00F. Jungman1.679211111A. Svoboda2.1011119133WSep 12 · 15:30M. Kolar1.53164981F. Jungman2.38141111113LSep 12 · 14:00F. Jungman1.44911851M. Fisera2.6311611113WSep 6 · 16:59F. Jungman1.61811911113J. Steffan2.2011611862LSep 6 · 16:00J. Trefny1.5711147123F. Jungman2.2551211101LSep 6 · 15:00J. Dedek1.3311311113F. Jungman3.25911931WSep 6 · 14:30F. Jungman1.731111115113J. Steffan2.0037131172WSep 6 · 13:30F. Jungman1.571111113F. Briza2.257980
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