TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13115421
Played Sep 12Finished
Marek Placek
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911117911––
Pavel Fojt
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:25 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timePavel Fojt to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Placek above · Pavel Fojt below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-8
Point 72 set 4, 9-8 — our read held Pavel Fojt at 76.7%
72 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Marek Placek 1–4 Pavel Fojt Marek Placek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:25What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Fojt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Fojt
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Placek 1388 vs Fojt 1530
Fojt
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Placek 20% vs Fojt 60%
Fojt
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Placek 30% vs Fojt 50%
Fojt
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Placek -2 · Fojt +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Fojt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fojt form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlacek 3.40 / Fojt 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Fojt)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13115421
Placek3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 34 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back18% 8 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Fojt1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 90 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it96% 46 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it80% 62 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePlacek1wins
AwayFojt4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderFojt leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlacekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayFojt100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Placek1Fojt4n = 5Fojt took 4 of 5
S2Placek0Fojt5n = 5Fojt took 5 of 5
S3Placek3Fojt2n = 5Placek took 3 of 5
S4Placek2Fojt1n = 3Placek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricPlacekFojtP − FBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match33.235.8−2.6per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlacekFojtBasisWin rate · lifetime204 / 396 vs 350 / 71451.5%49%204 / 396 vs 350 / 714Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FojtPlacek 3.40/Fojt 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Fojt · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fojt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LApr 19 · 03:28M. Placek4698111172P. Fojt42111154113
WApr 19 · 01:30M. Placek4111811113P. Fojt30511681
LMar 25 · 02:30M. Placek27561151P. Fojt3911116113
LOct 19 · 01:30M. Placek2681080P. Fojt341112113
LFeb 3 · 02:00M. Placek2691070P. Fojt341112113
M. Placek10
LSep 12 · 18:30F. Jungman1.6771111113M. Placek2.10117991LSep 8 · 02:58M. Placek1.4411811111O. Vitrovyj2.6341113133WSep 8 · 02:30M. Placek1.801111133O. Vitrovyj1.9179110LSep 8 · 01:30K. Darin1.671111123M. Placek2.1064100LSep 8 · 24:00M. Placek1.40811371J. Steffan2.7511411113WSep 7 · 23:00P. Picek2.63711291M. Placek1.4411911113LSep 4 · 21:07M. Placek2.70711561J. Dedek1.4011611113LSep 4 · 20:30M. Kolar2.00911611123M. Placek1.73116119102LSep 4 · 19:30M. Placek2.506360J. Dedek1.501111113WSep 4 · 18:30V. Postelt1.441011124122M. Placek2.631271011143
P. Fojt10
WSep 12 · 18:00P. Fojt1.5351111113F. Briza2.38119761LSep 8 · 03:00J. Dedek1.401112113P. Fojt2.7551030WSep 8 · 02:00P. Fojt2.25911911113J. Prokupek1.5711511752LSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113WSep 8 · 24:00J. Dedek1.36611111122P. Fojt3.00111331113LSep 7 · 22:30D. Kouble1.80811112113P. Fojt1.9111861162LSep 6 · 03:29P. Fojt1.332690Y. Holovatiuk3.251111113WSep 6 · 01:30P. Fojt2.751111113V. Postelt1.402790LSep 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek1.5031111113P. Fojt2.50116461WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Holovatiuk3.2575111162P. Fojt1.33111195113
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