TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13119396
Played Sep 13Finished
Jaroslav Prokupek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1158116111012––
Vladimir Postelt
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVladimir Postelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Prokupek above · Vladimir Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 74 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Vladimir Postelt at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Prokupek 41–43 Vladimir Postelt Jaroslav Prokupek has won 41 of their 84 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:42What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-43 in 84
Postelt
Correct
gap of 2 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prokupek 1489 vs Postelt 1452
Prokupek
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prokupek 20% vs Postelt 60%
Postelt
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prokupek 30% vs Postelt 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prokupek -3 · Postelt -1
Prokupek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Postelt)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prokupek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProkupek 1.91 / Postelt 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Postelt)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13119396
Prokupek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 91 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back17% 19 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 69
Postelt1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 117 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it97% 57 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 91 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProkupek5wins
AwayPostelt5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProkupek57.1%4 of 7
AwayPostelt66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prokupek7Postelt3n = 10Prokupek took 7 of 10
S2Prokupek6Postelt4n = 10Prokupek took 6 of 10
S3Prokupek3Postelt7n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S4Prokupek5Postelt4n = 9Prokupek took 5 of 9
S5Prokupek1Postelt2n = 3Postelt took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricProkupekPosteltProkupek − PosteltBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.939.1+0.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProkupekPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime653 / 1375 vs 434 / 82347.5%52.7%653 / 1375 vs 434 / 823Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltProkupek 1.91/Postelt 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 22:00J. Prokupek44111111113V. Postelt36791371
LSep 5 · 23:00J. Prokupek4361171182V. Postelt45114118113
LAug 25 · 22:00J. Prokupek31117761V. Postelt4071111113
LAug 19 · 10:00J. Prokupek45111176102V. Postelt52991111123
LJul 17 · 03:30J. Prokupek3711610101V. Postelt4381112123
WJul 16 · 23:00J. Prokupek331111113V. Postelt175750
WJul 6 · 02:58J. Prokupek51991111113V. Postelt4211119652
WJul 6 · 24:30J. Prokupek4311811133V. Postelt387119111
WJun 19 · 10:00J. Prokupek3611113113V. Postelt36791191
LJun 3 · 23:30J. Prokupek361111861V. Postelt4213711113
J. Prokupek10
LSep 13 · 22:00J. Dedek1.801110911113J. Prokupek1.9161211992LSep 13 · 13:30T. Vinter1.77861111123J. Prokupek1.93111179102LSep 13 · 12:30J. Prokupek1.5015661192K. Darin2.501311111113WSep 13 · 11:00J. Prokupek1.67511311113F. Jungman2.1011911982LSep 13 · 10:00T. Vinter1.53111211113J. Prokupek2.38314951LSep 11 · 21:28J. Prokupek2.0081131152T. Janata1.73119116113LSep 11 · 20:30J. Prokupek1.911112951J. Plachy1.8091411113WSep 11 · 19:00J. Prokupek2.00971111113T. Dousa1.7311116992WSep 11 · 18:00T. Janata1.575740J. Prokupek2.251111113LSep 10 · 21:30J. Prokupek1.53511491L. Krok2.3811411113
V. Postelt10
LSep 10 · 13:30T. Vinter1.601111113V. Postelt2.206870WSep 10 · 12:30M. Kolar2.0010750V. Postelt1.731211113WSep 10 · 11:30V. Postelt1.501111113J. Dedek2.508470LSep 10 · 10:30T. Vinter1.731111113V. Postelt2.009860WSep 9 · 02:00R. Pavelka2.2011981172V. Postelt1.61711119113LSep 9 · 24:30V. Postelt2.00101190J. Trefny1.731213113LSep 8 · 23:00V. Postelt2.5010770R. Krejci1.501211113LSep 8 · 22:00M. Vedmoch1.53141110113V. Postelt2.381281291LSep 8 · 02:30J. Dedek3.251111113V. Postelt1.338380WSep 8 · 01:00P. Fojt2.5081040V. Postelt1.501112113
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