TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119237
Played Sep 12Finished
Jirasek Martin
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611114112114––
Radek Hruby
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:53 and never touched — 69.1% is still 69.1%
Graded at full timeJirasek Martin to win
69.1%
69.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Radek Hruby below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 10-4
Point 59 set 4, 10-4 — our read held Jirasek Martin at 69.1%
59 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Martin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Martin 1552 vs Hruby 1287
Martin
Correct
both rated, 265 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 80% vs Hruby 60%
Martin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 60% vs Hruby 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin -1 · Hruby -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Martin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hruby form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 1.40 / Hruby 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Martin)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13119237
Martin1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 20 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Hruby2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 18 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back36% 9 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinHrubyBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 77 vs 51 / 13552%37.8%40 / 77 vs 51 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinMartin 1.40/Hruby 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Martin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Martin won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Martin10
LSep 12 · 15:05J. Martin1.57128991T. Motacek2.25101111113LSep 11 · 21:35J. Martin1.7259121182D. Hons1.931111105113WSep 11 · 20:35J. Martin1.8361111113D. Hons1.83118361WSep 11 · 19:05S. Kafka1.6111117482J. Martin2.20861111113WSep 11 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.4013115862J. Martin2.751161111113WSep 11 · 17:10J. Martin1.531111133J. Jr2.3889110WSep 11 · 16:05J. Jr2.2011511972J. Martin1.61711911113LSep 11 · 15:35O. Pros2.634111111113J. Martin1.4411137792LSep 11 · 14:35J. Martin2.10101111862L. Vosyka1.67126611113WSep 9 · 21:35J. Martin1.4011119113M. Flesar2.75551181
R. Hruby10
WSep 12 · 15:35R. Hruby2.63119115113P. Pesout1.4441141142LSep 5 · 17:44R. Hruby1.91117891T. Motacek1.8091111113LSep 5 · 16:35R. Hruby1.9111114572R. Jaros1.80761111113WSep 5 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.301181191R. Hruby3.4091113113WSep 5 · 14:35T. Motacek1.671158101R. Hruby2.1091111123WAug 30 · 17:05R. Hruby2.10116811113R. Jaros1.6741111972WAug 30 · 16:35R. Hruby2.101111113R. Jaros1.679550LAug 30 · 15:05M. Chmelicek1.3311411113R. Hruby3.25811881LAug 30 · 14:35P. Pesout1.57131110113R. Hruby2.251161291LAug 28 · 21:05R. Hruby1.538770T. Motacek2.381111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Martin
Nothing scheduled
R. Hruby
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.