TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13113528
Played Sep 11Finished
Jirasek Martin
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012116116811611
Ladislav Vosyka
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJirasek Martin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Ladislav Vosyka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jirasek Martin at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jirasek Martin 1–2 Ladislav Vosyka Jirasek Martin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:53What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vosyka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Martin 1499 vs Vosyka 1471
Martin
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 60% vs Vosyka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 60% vs Vosyka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin +1 · Vosyka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 2.10 / Vosyka 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Vosyka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13113528
Martin2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 17 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Vosyka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 84 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it75% 61 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMartin1wins
AwayVosyka2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVosyka leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martin1Vosyka2n = 3Vosyka took 2 of 3
S2Martin2Vosyka1n = 3Martin took 2 of 3
S3Martin2Vosyka1n = 3Martin took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMartinVosykaM − VBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match34.338.3−4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 69 vs 219 / 43050.7%50.9%35 / 69 vs 219 / 430Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaMartin 2.10/Vosyka 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vosyka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 27 · 20:05J. Martin—9290L. Vosyka—1111113
LAug 20 · 19:05J. Martin—81112772L. Vosyka—1191011113
WAug 16 · 15:35J. Martin—1112153L. Vosyka—710130
J. Martin10
LSep 11 · 15:35O. Pros2.634111111113J. Martin1.4411137792WSep 9 · 21:35J. Martin1.4011119113M. Flesar2.75551181LSep 9 · 20:35D. Hons2.0013311113J. Martin1.731111461WSep 9 · 19:35J. Martin2.001111113J. Vidourek1.739680WSep 9 · 18:05M. Flesar2.256230J. Martin1.571111113LSep 7 · 21:45M. Rojka2.011112113J. Martin1.6641070WSep 7 · 20:05J. Martin1.671141110113T. Krcil2.1001171262WSep 7 · 19:05J. Martin1.731112113J. Hajek2.0041070LSep 7 · 18:05J. Martin1.288470M. Rojka3.501111113WSep 6 · 09:05J. Martin1.671111163M. Flesar2.1088140
L. Vosyka10
WSep 11 · 15:05J. Jr2.1011581462L. Vosyka1.678111112113LSep 10 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.737970S. Kafka2.001111113LSep 10 · 20:35T. Krcil2.20117114113L. Vosyka1.6181161182WSep 10 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.67111197143M. Flesar2.10921111122WSep 10 · 18:05S. Kafka1.83481191L. Vosyka1.8311119113WSep 8 · 21:33M. Flesar2.0051111942L. Vosyka1.73119411113LSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.8331111113M. Flesar1.83118691WSep 8 · 18:05R. Neterda1.73811811L. Vosyka2.0011911113LSep 7 · 17:09D. Hons2.201111113L. Vosyka1.618280
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