TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13111547
Played Sep 10Finished
Ladislav Vosyka
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911711––––
Stanislav Kafka
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeStanislav Kafka to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLadislav Vosyka above · Stanislav Kafka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Stanislav Kafka at 55.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Vosyka 3–6 Stanislav Kafka Ladislav Vosyka has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Vosyka beat Kafka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:06What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Kafka
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1471 vs Kafka 1637
Kafka
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 60% vs Kafka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 50% vs Kafka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka -1 · Kafka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.73 / Kafka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vosyka)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13111547
Vosyka1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 83 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it96% 50 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it75% 60 of 80
Kafka2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVosyka3wins
AwayKafka6wins
Kafka leads 6–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVosyka75%3 of 4
AwayKafka100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka4Kafka5n = 9Kafka took 5 of 9
S2Vosyka3Kafka6n = 9Kafka took 6 of 9
S3Vosyka3Kafka6n = 9Kafka took 6 of 9
S4Vosyka2Kafka3n = 5Kafka took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away333%
These 9 meetings
MetricVosykaKafkaV − KBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match33.336.1−2.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaKafkaBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 430 vs 58 / 9250.9%63%219 / 430 vs 58 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.73/Kafka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kafka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 10 · 21:40L. Vosyka—7970S. Kafka—1111113
WSep 10 · 18:05L. Vosyka—11119113S. Kafka—481191
WMay 4 · 21:35L. Vosyka—1111113S. Kafka—6990
LMay 4 · 20:05L. Vosyka—107150S. Kafka—1211173
LApr 17 · 15:05L. Vosyka—114961S. Kafka—51111113
LApr 9 · 15:05L. Vosyka—711861S. Kafka—11611113
LMar 20 · 21:05L. Vosyka—61470S. Kafka—1116113
WJan 8 · 21:05L. Vosyka—12711113S. Kafka—1011671
LDec 4 · 17:35L. Vosyka—61212101S. Kafka—111410123
L. Vosyka10
LSep 10 · 20:35T. Krcil2.20117114113L. Vosyka1.6181161182WSep 10 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.67111197143M. Flesar2.10921111122WSep 10 · 18:05S. Kafka1.83481191L. Vosyka1.8311119113WSep 8 · 21:33M. Flesar2.0051111942L. Vosyka1.73119411113LSep 8 · 20:35J. Vidourek2.2511411113L. Vosyka1.57411991WSep 8 · 19:35L. Vosyka1.8331111113M. Flesar1.83118691WSep 8 · 18:05R. Neterda1.73811811L. Vosyka2.0011911113LSep 7 · 17:09D. Hons2.201111113L. Vosyka1.618280LSep 7 · 16:35D. Hons2.0081112113L. Vosyka1.731151071LSep 7 · 15:35L. Vosyka2.009650R. Fitl1.731111113
S. Kafka10
WSep 10 · 20:05S. Kafka1.531111153M. Flesar2.3895130WSep 10 · 19:05S. Kafka1.73741111113T. Krcil2.0011112782LSep 10 · 18:05S. Kafka1.83481191L. Vosyka1.8311119113LMay 4 · 21:35S. Kafka1.646990L. Vosyka2.041111113WMay 4 · 20:05S. Kafka1.661211173L. Vosyka2.00107150WMay 4 · 19:05S. Kafka1.611112113S. Vyskocil2.0891090WMay 4 · 18:05S. Kafka1.5011115113M. Jirasek2.30841161LApr 17 · 17:05S. Kafka—751171R. Neterda—11116113LApr 17 · 16:05S. Kafka—9550J. Hertl—1111113WApr 17 · 15:05S. Kafka1.7551111113L. Vosyka1.93114961
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