TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13113658
Played Sep 11Finished
Radek Vosyka
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311116511811611
Jirasek Martin
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:42 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeJirasek Martin to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Vosyka above · Jirasek Martin below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 93 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Jirasek Martin at 54.5%
93 points played in total.
H2H Radek Vosyka 2–1 Jirasek Martin Jirasek Martin has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:42What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vosyka 1622 vs Martin 1497
Vosyka
Wrong
both rated, 125 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vosyka 40% vs Martin 60%
Martin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vosyka 60% vs Martin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vosyka -2 · Martin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVosyka 1.40 / Martin 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Vosyka)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13113658
Vosyka1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 85 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it74% 69 of 93
Martin2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 17 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVosyka2wins
AwayMartin1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVosyka leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vosyka2Martin1n = 3Vosyka took 2 of 3
S2Vosyka3Martin0n = 3Vosyka took 3 of 3
S3Vosyka3Martin0n = 3Vosyka took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVosykaMartinV − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.031.0+8.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVosykaMartinBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 368 vs 37 / 7351.6%50.7%190 / 368 vs 37 / 73Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaVosyka 1.40/Martin 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.1%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Martin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 24 · 17:48R. Vosyka—1111123J. Martin—96100
LAug 24 · 15:05R. Vosyka—101211892J. Martin—1210611113
WAug 19 · 14:35R. Vosyka—1111113J. Martin—8640
R. Vosyka10
LSep 10 · 13:38R. Vosyka1.578480J. Ruzicka2.251111113LSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113WSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113LSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970LSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:05R. Vosyka1.501111113D. Hons2.507670WSep 8 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50111188113T. Krcil2.5089111182WSep 3 · 21:39J. Vidourek2.38891471R. Vosyka1.53111112113WSep 3 · 20:05R. Fitl2.38111150R. Vosyka1.531313113
J. Martin10
WSep 11 · 17:10J. Martin1.531111133J. Jr2.3889110WSep 11 · 16:05J. Jr2.2011511972J. Martin1.61711911113LSep 11 · 15:35O. Pros2.634111111113J. Martin1.4411137792LSep 11 · 14:35J. Martin2.10101111862L. Vosyka1.67126611113WSep 9 · 21:35J. Martin1.4011119113M. Flesar2.75551181LSep 9 · 20:35D. Hons2.0013311113J. Martin1.731111461WSep 9 · 19:35J. Martin2.001111113J. Vidourek1.739680WSep 9 · 18:05M. Flesar2.256230J. Martin1.571111113LSep 7 · 21:45M. Rojka2.011112113J. Martin1.6641070WSep 7 · 20:05J. Martin1.671141110113T. Krcil2.1001171262
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