TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13116094
Played Sep 11Finished
Jirasek Martin
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181191311––––
Jan Manhal Jr
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Jan Manhal Jr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 63 set 3, 13-11
63 points played in total.
H2H Jirasek Martin 4–0 Jan Manhal Jr Jan Manhal Jr has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Martin beat Jr 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Martin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 1.53 / Jr 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Martin)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13116094
Martin1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 17 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Jr2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 6 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back22% 2 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMartin4wins
AwayJr0wins
2 of 4 to a deciderMartin leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Martin2Jr2n = 4split evenly
S2Martin3Jr1n = 4Martin took 3 of 4
S3Martin2Jr2n = 4split evenly
S4Martin3Jr0n = 3Martin took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMartinJrM − JBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match45.839.5+6.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinJrBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 72 vs 16 / 3750%43.2%36 / 72 vs 16 / 37Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinMartin 1.53/Jr 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Martin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Martin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 11 · 16:05J. Martin—711911113J. Jr—11511972
WAug 24 · 16:35J. Martin—111114153J. Jr—6916131
WAug 19 · 17:50J. Martin—1111113J. Jr—9890
WAug 19 · 15:35J. Martin—881211113J. Jr—111110582
J. Martin10
WSep 11 · 16:05J. Jr2.2011511972J. Martin1.61711911113LSep 11 · 15:35O. Pros2.634111111113J. Martin1.4411137792LSep 11 · 14:35J. Martin2.10101111862L. Vosyka1.67126611113WSep 9 · 21:35J. Martin1.4011119113M. Flesar2.75551181LSep 9 · 20:35D. Hons2.0013311113J. Martin1.731111461WSep 9 · 19:35J. Martin2.001111113J. Vidourek1.739680WSep 9 · 18:05M. Flesar2.256230J. Martin1.571111113LSep 7 · 21:45M. Rojka2.011112113J. Martin1.6641070WSep 7 · 20:05J. Martin1.671141110113T. Krcil2.1001171262WSep 7 · 19:05J. Martin1.731112113J. Hajek2.0041070
J. Jr10
LSep 11 · 16:05J. Jr2.2011511972J. Martin1.61711911113LSep 11 · 15:05J. Jr2.1011581462L. Vosyka1.678111112113WSep 11 · 14:05J. Jr1.3691111113O. Pros3.00116551WSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113WSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110LSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150LAug 24 · 17:18J. Jr1.8361161182R. Fitl1.83118119113LAug 24 · 16:35J. Martin1.57111114153J. Jr2.256916131WAug 24 · 15:35J. Jr1.9111212113R. Fitl1.808111061
Upcoming Matches
J. Martin
J. Jr
Nothing scheduled
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