TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13113393
Played Sep 11Finished
Jan Manhal Jr
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911116115115––
Ondrej Pros
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:14 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeJan Manhal Jr to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Manhal Jr above · Ondrej Pros below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jan Manhal Jr at 63.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Jan Manhal Jr 1–1 Ondrej Pros Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:14What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jr 1475 vs Pros 1384
Jr
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Pros 0%
Jr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 40% vs Pros 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +2 · Pros -5
Pros
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pros form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.36 / Pros 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Jr)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13113393
Jr1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 9 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it67% 6 of 9
Pros3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 34 of 86
Down 0–1, comes back21% 12 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJr1wins
AwayPros1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJrProsJ − PBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.036.5+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrProsBasisWin rate · lifetime15 / 34 vs 113 / 24744.1%45.8%15 / 34 vs 113 / 247Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.36/Pros 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 7 · 14:05J. Jr—861171O. Pros—11119113
WJul 17 · 14:35J. Jr—11911113O. Pros—911921
J. Jr10
WSep 4 · 17:03R. Fitl1.731191071J. Jr2.0091112113WSep 4 · 16:35J. Jr1.731111133M. Flesar2.0089110LSep 4 · 15:05R. Neterda2.381112113J. Jr1.5391050LSep 4 · 14:35R. Fitl1.801114173J. Jr1.91812150LAug 24 · 17:18J. Jr1.8361161182R. Fitl1.83118119113LAug 24 · 16:35J. Martin1.57111114153J. Jr2.256916131WAug 24 · 15:35J. Jr1.9111212113R. Fitl1.808111061LAug 24 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50911511113J. Jr2.5011711682LAug 23 · 09:05J. Jr1.831191151R. Vavricka1.8313115113WAug 23 · 08:35J. Jr1.911111113R. Vavricka1.805690
O. Pros10
LSep 8 · 13:05R. Vavricka1.531111113O. Pros2.386390LSep 8 · 12:35R. Vavricka1.5711311113O. Pros2.25711791LSep 8 · 11:35O. Pros2.7534121162J. Lovl1.401111107113LSep 8 · 10:05R. Fitl1.331111113O. Pros3.259770LSep 3 · 13:44O. Pros1.408711121M. Flesar2.7511119143WSep 3 · 12:05M. Flesar2.631199121O. Pros1.4461111143LSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540WSep 3 · 10:35O. Pros2.0011811113M. Chmelicek1.73711871WSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123WSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113
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