TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13099016
Played Sep 8Finished
Richard Vavricka
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113119––––
Ondrej Pros
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingRichard Vavricka above · Ondrej Pros below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 51 set 3, 11-9
51 points played in total.
H2H Richard Vavricka 5–1 Ondrej Pros Ondrej Pros has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Vavricka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pros form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavricka 1.53 / Pros 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Vavricka)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13099016
Vavricka1.53
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite63% won 35 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Pros2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 34 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back21% 12 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVavricka5wins
AwayPros1wins
1 of 6 to a deciderVavricka leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavricka100%4 of 4
AwayProsn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavricka4Pros2n = 6Vavricka took 4 of 6
S2Vavricka3Pros3n = 6split evenly
S3Vavricka5Pros1n = 6Vavricka took 5 of 6
S4Vavricka3Pros1n = 4Vavricka took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricVavrickaProsV − PBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match38.734.0+4.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavrickaProsBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 203 vs 113 / 24650.7%45.9%103 / 203 vs 113 / 246Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavrickaVavricka 1.53/Pros 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Vavricka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vavricka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 8 · 12:35R. Vavricka—11311113O. Pros—711791
LJul 31 · 21:40R. Vavricka—7119121O. Pros—11911143
WJul 31 · 18:35R. Vavricka—111011113O. Pros—812991
WJul 24 · 18:35R. Vavricka—1111113O. Pros—4850
WJan 10 · 11:05R. Vavricka—1111133O. Pros—87110
WDec 26 · 11:35R. Vavricka—581111113O. Pros—11118772
R. Vavricka10
WSep 8 · 12:35R. Vavricka1.5711311113O. Pros2.25711791LSep 8 · 11:05R. Fitl1.50711911113R. Vavricka2.5011711842LSep 8 · 10:35J. Lovl1.57111115113R. Vavricka2.25761751LSep 7 · 13:14R. Vavricka2.1051161162M. Holub1.67118118113LSep 7 · 12:35R. Fitl1.50115413113R. Vavricka2.50611111182LSep 7 · 11:35R. Vavricka2.20711691R. Neterda1.6111411113WSep 7 · 10:05M. Holub1.73111011942R. Vavricka2.00912811113LSep 5 · 21:04J. Martin2.001111123R. Vavricka1.7389100LSep 5 · 20:35R. Vavricka1.677680J. Martin2.101111113LSep 5 · 19:05R. Fitl1.73111215113R. Vavricka2.003101771
O. Pros10
LSep 8 · 12:35R. Vavricka1.5711311113O. Pros2.25711791LSep 8 · 11:35O. Pros2.7534121162J. Lovl1.401111107113LSep 8 · 10:05R. Fitl1.331111113O. Pros3.259770LSep 3 · 13:44O. Pros1.408711121M. Flesar2.7511119143WSep 3 · 12:05M. Flesar2.631199121O. Pros1.4461111143LSep 3 · 11:35J. Hajek1.531111113O. Pros2.385540WSep 3 · 10:35O. Pros2.0011811113M. Chmelicek1.73711871WSep 1 · 13:20R. Neterda1.731191110102O. Pros2.00711812123WSep 1 · 12:35R. Neterda1.9110111591O. Pros1.80121313113LSep 1 · 11:35O. Pros3.505890R. Pokorny1.281111113
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