TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13114140
Played Sep 11Finished
Stanislav Kafka
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118116711411811
Jirasek Martin
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:24 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeStanislav Kafka to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStanislav Kafka above · Jirasek Martin below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 88 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Stanislav Kafka at 57.7%
88 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:24What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kafka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kafka 1617 vs Martin 1525
Kafka
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kafka 60% vs Martin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kafka 60% vs Martin 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kafka -1 · Martin +3
Martin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kafka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKafka 1.61 / Martin 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kafka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13114140
Kafka1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 13 of 20
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Martin2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 17 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKafkaMartinBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 97 vs 38 / 7462.9%51.4%61 / 97 vs 38 / 74Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.236.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KafkaKafka 1.61/Martin 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Kafka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Martin won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Kafka10
WSep 11 · 20:05S. Kafka2.3891111113R. Vosyka1.53115471LSep 11 · 18:05S. Kafka1.6157100D. Hons2.201111123WSep 10 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.737970S. Kafka2.001111113WSep 10 · 20:05S. Kafka1.531111153M. Flesar2.3895130WSep 10 · 19:05S. Kafka1.73741111113T. Krcil2.0011112782LSep 10 · 18:05S. Kafka1.83481191L. Vosyka1.8311119113LMay 4 · 21:35S. Kafka1.646990L. Vosyka2.041111113WMay 4 · 20:05S. Kafka1.661211173L. Vosyka2.00107150WMay 4 · 19:05S. Kafka1.611112113S. Vyskocil2.0891090WMay 4 · 18:05S. Kafka1.5011115113M. Jirasek2.30841161
J. Martin10
WSep 11 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.4013115862J. Martin2.751161111113WSep 11 · 17:10J. Martin1.531111133J. Jr2.3889110WSep 11 · 16:05J. Jr2.2011511972J. Martin1.61711911113LSep 11 · 15:35O. Pros2.634111111113J. Martin1.4411137792LSep 11 · 14:35J. Martin2.10101111862L. Vosyka1.67126611113WSep 9 · 21:35J. Martin1.4011119113M. Flesar2.75551181LSep 9 · 20:35D. Hons2.0013311113J. Martin1.731111461WSep 9 · 19:35J. Martin2.001111113J. Vidourek1.739680WSep 9 · 18:05M. Flesar2.256230J. Martin1.571111113LSep 7 · 21:45M. Rojka2.011112113J. Martin1.6641070
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