TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13114151
Played Sep 11Finished
Stanislav Kafka
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911115114117––
Radek Vosyka
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:23 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingStanislav Kafka above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 60.8%
69 points played in total.
H2H Stanislav Kafka 0–4 Radek Vosyka Stanislav Kafka has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:23What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Vosyka
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kafka 1611 vs Vosyka 1590
Kafka
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kafka 60% vs Vosyka 20%
Kafka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kafka 60% vs Vosyka 40%
Kafka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kafka -2 · Vosyka -4
Vosyka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKafka 2.38 / Vosyka 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Vosyka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13114151
Kafka2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Vosyka1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 85 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it74% 69 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKafka0wins
AwayVosyka4wins
Vosyka leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKafkan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVosyka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kafka1Vosyka3n = 4Vosyka took 3 of 4
S2Kafka0Vosyka4n = 4Vosyka took 4 of 4
S3Kafka3Vosyka1n = 4Kafka took 3 of 4
S4Kafka0Vosyka4n = 4Vosyka took 4 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away4100%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKafkaVosykaK − VBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match32.541.2−8.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKafkaVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 98 vs 190 / 37062.2%51.4%61 / 98 vs 190 / 370Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaKafka 2.38/Vosyka 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kafka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMar 11 · 19:05S. Kafka—1661071R. Vosyka—141112113
LFeb 25 · 17:05S. Kafka—891171R. Vosyka—11116113
LFeb 19 · 15:35S. Kafka—491161R. Vosyka—11113113
LFeb 11 · 15:35S. Kafka—561141R. Vosyka—11119113
S. Kafka10
LSep 11 · 19:05S. Kafka1.6111117482J. Martin2.20861111113LSep 11 · 18:05S. Kafka1.6157100D. Hons2.201111123WSep 10 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.737970S. Kafka2.001111113WSep 10 · 20:05S. Kafka1.531111153M. Flesar2.3895130WSep 10 · 19:05S. Kafka1.73741111113T. Krcil2.0011112782LSep 10 · 18:05S. Kafka1.83481191L. Vosyka1.8311119113LMay 4 · 21:35S. Kafka1.646990L. Vosyka2.041111113WMay 4 · 20:05S. Kafka1.661211173L. Vosyka2.00107150WMay 4 · 19:05S. Kafka1.611112113S. Vyskocil2.0891090WMay 4 · 18:05S. Kafka1.5011115113M. Jirasek2.30841161
R. Vosyka10
LSep 11 · 19:35D. Hons2.7511114113R. Vosyka1.40781191LSep 11 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.4013115862J. Martin2.751161111113LSep 10 · 13:38R. Vosyka1.578480J. Ruzicka2.251111113LSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113WSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113LSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970LSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:05R. Vosyka1.501111113D. Hons2.507670WSep 8 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50111188113T. Krcil2.5089111182
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