TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13114166
Played Sep 11Finished
David Hons
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117118411119––
Radek Vosyka
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:24 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeRadek Vosyka to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDavid Hons above · Radek Vosyka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 72 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Radek Vosyka at 69.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H David Hons 9–13 Radek Vosyka David Hons has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:24What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vosyka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-13 in 22
Vosyka
Wrong
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hons 1524 vs Vosyka 1594
Vosyka
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hons 60% vs Vosyka 40%
Hons
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hons 50% vs Vosyka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hons +3 · Vosyka -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Vosyka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vosyka form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHons 2.75 / Vosyka 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Vosyka)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13114166
Hons2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 65 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 46
Vosyka1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 85 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it96% 54 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it74% 69 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHons3wins
AwayVosyka7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVosyka leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHons40%2 of 5
AwayVosyka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hons5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S2Hons5Vosyka5n = 10split evenly
S3Hons3Vosyka7n = 10Vosyka took 7 of 10
S4Hons1Vosyka4n = 5Vosyka took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHonsVosykaH − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.635.8−3.2per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHonsVosykaBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 479 vs 190 / 36949.3%51.5%236 / 479 vs 190 / 369Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VosykaHons 2.75/Vosyka 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Vosyka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hons won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 15:05D. Hons—7670R. Vosyka—1111113
LSep 3 · 19:35D. Hons—612581R. Vosyka—111011113
LAug 29 · 18:35D. Hons—97100R. Vosyka—1111123
WJul 16 · 10:05D. Hons—1111113R. Vosyka—8480
LJul 14 · 10:05D. Hons—109110R. Vosyka—1211133
LJun 12 · 14:05D. Hons—111198112R. Vosyka—991111133
LMay 31 · 21:05D. Hons—119951R. Vosyka—91111113
WMay 31 · 20:35D. Hons—1112113R. Vosyka—71070
LMay 17 · 21:10D. Hons—132951R. Vosyka—111111113
WMay 17 · 20:35D. Hons—61111113R. Vosyka—118551
D. Hons10
WSep 11 · 18:05S. Kafka1.6157100D. Hons2.201111123WSep 9 · 21:05J. Vidourek1.539970D. Hons2.381111113WSep 9 · 20:35D. Hons2.0013311113J. Martin1.731111461LSep 9 · 19:05M. Flesar2.1091211113D. Hons1.671110641LSep 9 · 18:35J. Vidourek1.571213117113D. Hons2.25141151172WSep 8 · 17:10T. Krcil1.8351191142D. Hons1.83119118113LSep 8 · 16:35D. Hons1.7311118842T. Krcil2.00461111113LSep 8 · 15:05R. Vosyka1.501111113D. Hons2.507670LSep 8 · 14:35R. Fitl1.4412119113D. Hons2.631091161WSep 7 · 17:09D. Hons2.201111113L. Vosyka1.618280
R. Vosyka10
LSep 11 · 20:05S. Kafka2.3891111113R. Vosyka1.53115471LSep 11 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.4013115862J. Martin2.751161111113LSep 10 · 13:38R. Vosyka1.578480J. Ruzicka2.251111113LSep 10 · 12:35R. Vosyka1.83611471R. Fitl1.8311711113WSep 10 · 11:05M. Holub1.801011112132R. Vosyka1.91126911153WSep 10 · 10:35J. Ruzicka2.105480R. Vosyka1.661111113LSep 8 · 17:39R. Fitl2.001211113R. Vosyka1.7310970LSep 8 · 16:05R. Vosyka1.5710121171R. Fitl2.2512147113WSep 8 · 15:05R. Vosyka1.501111113D. Hons2.507670WSep 8 · 14:05R. Vosyka1.50111188113T. Krcil2.5089111182
Upcoming Matches
D. Hons
R. Vosyka
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.