TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13119533
Played Sep 12Finished
Jirasek Martin
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210811911911––
Tomas Motacek
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:07 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJirasek Martin to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJirasek Martin above · Tomas Motacek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 81 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jirasek Martin at 61.7%
81 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Martin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Martin 1557 vs Motacek 1410
Martin
Wrong
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Martin 80% vs Motacek 40%
Martin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Martin 70% vs Motacek 50%
Martin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Martin +1 · Motacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Martin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Martin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMartin 1.57 / Motacek 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Martin)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13119533
Martin1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 20 of 37
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it74% 14 of 19
Motacek2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog67% won 8 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMartinMotacekBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 78 vs 15 / 2952.6%51.7%41 / 78 vs 15 / 29Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.635.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MartinMartin 1.57/Motacek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Martin · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Motacek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Martin10
WSep 12 · 14:05J. Martin1.4061111113R. Hruby2.75114241LSep 11 · 21:35J. Martin1.7259121182D. Hons1.931111105113WSep 11 · 20:35J. Martin1.8361111113D. Hons1.83118361WSep 11 · 19:05S. Kafka1.6111117482J. Martin2.20861111113WSep 11 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.4013115862J. Martin2.751161111113WSep 11 · 17:10J. Martin1.531111133J. Jr2.3889110WSep 11 · 16:05J. Jr2.2011511972J. Martin1.61711911113LSep 11 · 15:35O. Pros2.634111111113J. Martin1.4411137792LSep 11 · 14:35J. Martin2.10101111862L. Vosyka1.67126611113WSep 9 · 21:35J. Martin1.4011119113M. Flesar2.75551181
T. Motacek10
WSep 12 · 14:35P. Pesout1.8086110T. Motacek1.911111133LSep 12 · 13:35K. Lahodny1.531311113T. Motacek2.3811370WSep 12 · 12:35M. Chmelicek2.004970T. Motacek1.731111113LSep 12 · 11:35T. Motacek2.0011611652J. Jr1.73711911113LSep 12 · 10:05K. Lahodny1.731111123T. Motacek2.0085100WSep 9 · 17:05T. Motacek1.501111113M. Rojka2.505780WSep 9 · 16:35M. Rojka1.732740T. Motacek2.001111113LSep 9 · 15:35T. Motacek1.7371151172M. Chmelicek2.00117111113LSep 9 · 14:05P. Pesout2.00111112113T. Motacek1.73981481WSep 6 · 13:35P. Pesout1.80611881T. Motacek1.9111811113
Upcoming Matches
J. Martin
Nothing scheduled
T. Motacek
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.