TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13120306
Played Sep 12Finished
Krystof Lahodny
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311113117––––
Tomas Motacek
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingKrystof Lahodny above · Tomas Motacek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7
56 points played in total.
H2H Krystof Lahodny 1–0 Tomas Motacek Tomas Motacek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Lahodny beat Motacek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Lahodny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Motacek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLahodny 1.53 / Motacek 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Lahodny)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13120306
Lahodny1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Motacek2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog67% won 8 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLahodny1wins
AwayMotacek0wins
Lahodny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLahodnyMotacekL − MBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.023.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLahodnyMotacekBasisWin rate · lifetime16 / 40 vs 15 / 2840%53.6%16 / 40 vs 15 / 28Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.435.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LahodnyLahodny 1.53/Motacek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Lahodny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lahodny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 12 · 10:05K. Lahodny341111123T. Motacek2385100
K. Lahodny10
WSep 12 · 12:05K. Lahodny2.251112163J. Jr1.57810140WSep 12 · 11:05K. Lahodny1.91611411113M. Chmelicek1.8011411742WSep 12 · 10:05K. Lahodny1.731111123T. Motacek2.0085100LSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113WSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:35J. Martin1.7371212792K. Lahodny2.0011101011113WSep 5 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.10411118113R. Vavricka1.6711881142LAug 31 · 13:05K. Lahodny2.2531190R. Fitl1.571113113LAug 31 · 12:35P. Chvatal1.571211113K. Lahodny2.2510880WAug 31 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.38117119133R. Fitl1.53711911112
T. Motacek10
WSep 12 · 12:35M. Chmelicek2.004970T. Motacek1.731111113LSep 12 · 11:35T. Motacek2.0011611652J. Jr1.73711911113LSep 12 · 10:05K. Lahodny1.731111123T. Motacek2.0085100WSep 9 · 17:05T. Motacek1.501111113M. Rojka2.505780WSep 9 · 16:35M. Rojka1.732740T. Motacek2.001111113LSep 9 · 15:35T. Motacek1.7371151172M. Chmelicek2.00117111113LSep 9 · 14:05P. Pesout2.00111112113T. Motacek1.73981481WSep 6 · 13:35P. Pesout1.80611881T. Motacek1.9111811113WSep 6 · 12:35T. Motacek1.2811118123R. Jaros3.506811101WSep 6 · 11:05M. Chmelicek1.676790T. Motacek2.101111113
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