TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13118102
Played Sep 12Finished
Krystof Lahodny
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611114411117114
Martin Chmelicek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Chmelicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrystof Lahodny above · Martin Chmelicek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 80 set 5, 11-4 — our read held Martin Chmelicek at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
The pickContradict
Sealed 24:43What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Chmelicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lahodny 1490 vs Chmelicek 1386
Lahodny
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lahodny 80% vs Chmelicek 100%
Chmelicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lahodny 60% vs Chmelicek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lahodny +1 · Chmelicek +5
Chmelicek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lahodny) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chmelicek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLahodny 1.91 / Chmelicek 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lahodny)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13118102
Lahodny1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 12 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Chmelicek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite51% won 64 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it86% 38 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it67% 52 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLahodnyChmelicekBasisWin rate · lifetime14 / 37 vs 227 / 47737.8%47.6%14 / 37 vs 227 / 477Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LahodnyLahodny 1.91/Chmelicek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lahodny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lahodny won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Lahodny10
WSep 12 · 10:05K. Lahodny1.731111123T. Motacek2.0085100LSep 5 · 21:33K. Lahodny2.00114871R. Fitl1.7341111113WSep 5 · 20:05R. Fitl1.531611861K. Lahodny2.3818911113WSep 5 · 19:35J. Martin1.7371212792K. Lahodny2.0011101011113WSep 5 · 18:35K. Lahodny2.10411118113R. Vavricka1.6711881142LAug 31 · 13:05K. Lahodny2.2531190R. Fitl1.571113113LAug 31 · 12:35P. Chvatal1.571211113K. Lahodny2.2510880WAug 31 · 11:35K. Lahodny2.38117119133R. Fitl1.53711911112LAug 31 · 10:05M. Holub1.6151111153K. Lahodny2.201198131WAug 27 · 13:09K. Lahodny2.109111110113P. Chvatal1.6711881272
M. Chmelicek10
WSep 12 · 10:35J. Jr1.738680M. Chmelicek2.001111113WSep 9 · 17:35M. Chmelicek1.73111117113P. Pesout2.00891971WSep 9 · 16:05P. Pesout1.619390M. Chmelicek2.201111113WSep 9 · 15:35T. Motacek1.7371151172M. Chmelicek2.00117111113WSep 9 · 14:35M. Chmelicek2.00111011113M. Rojka1.73612591LSep 9 · 13:15J. Lovl1.44891111113M. Chmelicek2.6311117962LSep 9 · 12:35R. Vavricka1.61711911113M. Chmelicek2.2011711592LSep 9 · 11:35M. Chmelicek2.2061111101J. Lovl1.6111913123LSep 9 · 10:05R. Neterda1.731111113M. Chmelicek2.009570LSep 6 · 21:40L. Vosyka1.421111113M. Chmelicek2.555840
Upcoming Matches
K. Lahodny1 of 3 neutral
M. Chmelicek1 of 4 neutral
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.