Jirasek Martin vs David Hons 2-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13116862

Played Sep 11Finished

Jirasek Martin

Home

1.72

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 4

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

5119111210115811

David Hons

Away

1.93

At publish

Won last 4

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:06 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%

Graded at full time

Jirasek Martin to win

59.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingJirasek Martin above · David Hons below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 11-5

Set 5 · 8-11

Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jirasek Martin at 59.7%

93 points played in total.

H2H Jirasek Martin 4–2 David Hons David Hons has won 2 of their 6 meetings.

Last 6 · 4–2Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 21:06

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.72 (53%)

Martin

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

4-2 in 6

Martin

Wrong

gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Martin 1554 vs Hons 1519

Martin

Wrong

both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Martin 80% vs Hons 80%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Martin 70% vs Hons 50%

Martin

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Martin +4 · Hons +4

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Martin) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Hons form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMartin 1.72 / Hons 1.93

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Martin)+1.2pp

TT Cup · #13116862

Martin1.72

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite53% won 17 of 32

Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11

Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17

Hons1.93

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 4

oldest → newest

90%takes the first set · 9 of 10

As underdog42% won 65 of 154

Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 74

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 46

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 6 meetings

HomeMartin4wins

AwayHons2wins

Martin leads 4–2.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMartinn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayHons50%2 of 4

Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Martin2Hons4n = 6Hons took 4 of 6

S2Martin5Hons1n = 6Martin took 5 of 6

S3Martin4Hons2n = 6Martin took 4 of 6

S4Martin3Hons2n = 5Martin took 3 of 5

How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home117%

3–1Four sets, home350%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away233%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 6 meetings

MetricMartinHonsM − HBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match37.033.3+3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMartinHonsBasisWin rate · lifetime40 / 76 vs 237 / 48152.6%49.3%40 / 76 vs 237 / 481Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Martin

Martin 1.72/Hons 1.93

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.1%

Martin · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Hons won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record6

WSep 11 · 20:35J. Martin—61111113D. Hons—118361

LSep 9 · 20:35J. Martin—1111461D. Hons—13311113

WAug 8 · 10:35J. Martin—11118113D. Hons—921171

WAug 8 · 06:35J. Martin—91111113D. Hons—116991

WAug 7 · 21:09J. Martin—1112113D. Hons—81070

LAug 7 · 20:05J. Martin—1171241D. Hons—131110113

J. Martin10

WSep 11 · 20:35J. Martin1.8361111113D. Hons1.83118361 WSep 11 · 19:05S. Kafka1.6111117482J. Martin2.20861111113 WSep 11 · 18:35R. Vosyka1.4013115862J. Martin2.751161111113 WSep 11 · 17:10J. Martin1.531111133J. Jr2.3889110 WSep 11 · 16:05J. Jr2.2011511972J. Martin1.61711911113 LSep 11 · 15:35O. Pros2.634111111113J. Martin1.4411137792 LSep 11 · 14:35J. Martin2.10101111862L. Vosyka1.67126611113 WSep 9 · 21:35J. Martin1.4011119113M. Flesar2.75551181 LSep 9 · 20:35D. Hons2.0013311113J. Martin1.731111461 WSep 9 · 19:35J. Martin2.001111113J. Vidourek1.739680

D. Hons10

LSep 11 · 20:35J. Martin1.8361111113D. Hons1.83118361 WSep 11 · 19:35D. Hons2.7511114113R. Vosyka1.40781191 WSep 11 · 18:05S. Kafka1.6157100D. Hons2.201111123 WSep 9 · 21:05J. Vidourek1.539970D. Hons2.381111113 WSep 9 · 20:35D. Hons2.0013311113J. Martin1.731111461 LSep 9 · 19:05M. Flesar2.1091211113D. Hons1.671110641 LSep 9 · 18:35J. Vidourek1.571213117113D. Hons2.25141151172 WSep 8 · 17:10T. Krcil1.8351191142D. Hons1.83119118113 LSep 8 · 16:35D. Hons1.7311118842T. Krcil2.00461111113 LSep 8 · 15:05R. Vosyka1.501111113D. Hons2.507670

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