TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117034
Played Sep 13Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117116––––
Yurii Parahailo
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:32 and never touched — 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Yurii Parahailo below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 76.6%
51 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 64–12 Yurii Parahailo Yurii Parahailo has won 12 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Khomenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
64-12 in 76
Khomenko
Correct
gap of 52 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1648 vs Parahailo 1602
Khomenko
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 40% vs Parahailo 80%
Parahailo
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 70% vs Parahailo 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko +1 · Parahailo +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Khomenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Parahailo form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.28 / Parahailo 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Khomenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13117034
Khomenko1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 76 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it100% 44 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 53 of 64
Parahailo3.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 79 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko9wins
AwayParahailo1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko85.7%6 of 7
AwayParahailo0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko7Parahailo3n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S2Khomenko9Parahailo1n = 10Khomenko took 9 of 10
S3Khomenko10Parahailo0n = 10Khomenko took 10 of 10
S4Khomenko3Parahailo1n = 4Khomenko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoParahailoK − PBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.626.5+10.1per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoParahailoBasisWin rate · lifetime463 / 847 vs 403 / 80454.7%50.1%463 / 847 vs 403 / 804Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKhomenko 1.28/Parahailo 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 12:35M. Khomenko3951111123Y. Parahailo381198101
WAug 29 · 22:30M. Khomenko4291111113Y. Parahailo26116541
WAug 24 · 10:35M. Khomenko331111113Y. Parahailo197660
WAug 23 · 12:05M. Khomenko331111113Y. Parahailo185670
LAug 23 · 02:00M. Khomenko3811711362Y. Parahailo43211811113
WJul 26 · 02:00M. Khomenko331111113Y. Parahailo226880
WJul 18 · 22:30M. Khomenko401811113Y. Parahailo3216970
WJun 1 · 05:05M. Khomenko4291111113Y. Parahailo32117681
WMay 31 · 16:05M. Khomenko331111113Y. Parahailo208660
WMay 31 · 24:00M. Khomenko331111113Y. Parahailo157350
M. Khomenko10
WSep 12 · 22:30M. Khomenko1.91111186113V. Kovalchuk1.8056111162LSep 12 · 20:30M. Khomenko1.7351111962O. Rodin2.00119411113WSep 7 · 09:44M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Kolos3.505630LSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982LSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210
Y. Parahailo10
WSep 12 · 22:00R. Novak1.8061110101Y. Parahailo1.9111512123LSep 12 · 20:00Y. Tebenko1.831111113Y. Parahailo1.837470WAug 31 · 10:35Y. Parahailo3.751111113M. Khomenko1.254840WAug 31 · 09:05Y. Parahailo1.91118117113Y. Tebenko1.8041181182WAug 31 · 07:35Y. Parahailo1.831111113O. Storozhenko1.837550WAug 31 · 06:05Y. Parahailo2.2011611123D. Maltsev1.618117101WAug 31 · 04:35Y. Parahailo1.571111113I. Fashchevskyi2.254990WAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:35Y. Parahailo2.388790O. Rodin1.531111113WAug 30 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.1059111192Y. Parahailo1.67111196113
Upcoming Matches
M. Khomenko
Y. Parahailo
Sep 13 · 01:30Y. Parahailo2.50O. Rodin1.50—Sep 13 · 02:30Y. Parahailo1.50V. Kovalchuk2.50—Sep 13 · 13:05Y. Parahailo1.53V. Kovalchuk2.38—Sep 13 · 14:05Y. Parahailo2.50O. Rodin1.50—Sep 13 · 15:05Y. Parahailo1.91R. Novak1.80—Sep 13 · 17:05Y. Parahailo3.00Y. Kolos1.36—Sep 13 · 19:05Y. Parahailo3.50M. Khomenko1.28—
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