TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117004
Played Sep 12Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511119114911611
Oleksii Rodin
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timeMaksym Khomenko to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 88 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Maksym Khomenko at 54.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 7–9 Oleksii Rodin Maksym Khomenko has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:22What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Khomenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Rodin
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khomenko 1654 vs Rodin 1524
Khomenko
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khomenko 60% vs Rodin 20%
Khomenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khomenko 70% vs Rodin 40%
Khomenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Khomenko +1 · Rodin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Khomenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.73 / Rodin 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Khomenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13117004
Khomenko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 76 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it100% 44 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it83% 53 of 64
Rodin2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 31 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back24% 6 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko4wins
AwayRodin6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRodin leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko66.7%4 of 6
AwayRodin100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko6Rodin4n = 10Khomenko took 6 of 10
S2Khomenko4Rodin6n = 10Rodin took 6 of 10
S3Khomenko7Rodin3n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S4Khomenko5Rodin1n = 6Khomenko took 5 of 6
S5Khomenko0Rodin5n = 5Rodin took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoRodinK − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.136.8+1.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime474 / 859 vs 173 / 29555.2%58.6%474 / 859 vs 173 / 295Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKhomenko 1.73/Rodin 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rodin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko331111113O. Rodin193880
WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko351113113O. Rodin2161140
LAug 30 · 16:05M. Khomenko4369111162O. Rodin4311115883
LAug 24 · 05:05M. Khomenko226880O. Rodin331111113
LAug 23 · 17:05M. Khomenko49116137122O. Rodin525111111143
LAug 23 · 15:05M. Khomenko46511611132O. Rodin52118117153
LAug 23 · 01:00M. Khomenko4011951142O. Rodin42611113113
WAug 17 · 05:05M. Khomenko4013511113O. Rodin401111991
LAug 16 · 17:29M. Khomenko4084111162O. Rodin47111177113
WAug 16 · 15:05M. Khomenko331111113O. Rodin198560
M. Khomenko10
WSep 12 · 22:30M. Khomenko1.91111186113V. Kovalchuk1.8056111162WSep 7 · 09:44M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Kolos3.505630LSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982LSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542
O. Rodin10
WSep 12 · 21:30Y. Tebenko2.508830O. Rodin1.501111113WSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111LSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140LSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793
Upcoming Matches
M. Khomenko
Sep 13 · 24:00M. Khomenko1.28Y. Parahailo3.50—Sep 13 · 01:00M. Khomenko2.00R. Novak1.73—Sep 13 · 02:00M. Khomenko1.50Y. Tebenko2.50—Sep 13 · 12:35M. Khomenko1.22Y. Kolos4.00—Sep 13 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.25R. Novak1.57—Sep 13 · 15:35M. Khomenko2.00V. Kovalchuk1.73—Sep 13 · 17:35M. Khomenko1.83O. Rodin1.83—Sep 13 · 19:05M. Khomenko1.28Y. Parahailo3.50—
O. Rodin
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