TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13091680
Played Sep 7Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116113––––
Yurii Kolos
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Yurii Kolos below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 47 set 3, 11-3
47 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 13–3 Yurii Kolos Yurii Kolos has won 3 of their 16 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Khomenko beat Kolos 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Khomenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 1.28 / Kolos 3.50
Signal prob.78% / 23%
Edge (Khomenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13091680
Khomenko1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 75 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it100% 42 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 52 of 63
Kolos3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 8 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back0% 0 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKhomenko8wins
AwayKolos2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKhomenko leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko100%7 of 7
AwayKolos66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko7Kolos3n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S2Khomenko8Kolos2n = 10Khomenko took 8 of 10
S3Khomenko7Kolos3n = 10Khomenko took 7 of 10
S4Khomenko4Kolos0n = 4Khomenko took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKhomenkoKolosKhomenko − KolosBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.026.3+9.7per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoKolosBasisWin rate · lifetime473 / 859 vs 49 / 10655.1%46.2%473 / 859 vs 49 / 106Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.535.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhomenkoKhomenko 1.28/Kolos 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Khomenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 06:05M. Khomenko—1111113Y. Kolos—8540
WAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko—1111113Y. Kolos—1680
WAug 16 · 16:35M. Khomenko—11611113Y. Kolos—411641
WAug 10 · 09:35M. Khomenko—11119113Y. Kolos—691171
WAug 2 · 12:35M. Khomenko—1111113Y. Kolos—8760
WJun 21 · 16:05M. Khomenko—1211133Y. Kolos—108110
WJun 14 · 17:05M. Khomenko—1111113Y. Kolos—5620
LMar 9 · 12:05M. Khomenko—10680Y. Kolos—1211113
LMar 8 · 19:35M. Khomenko—91171182Y. Kolos—116114113
WFeb 16 · 12:05M. Khomenko—81111113Y. Kolos—116791
M. Khomenko10
LSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982LSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113LSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113
Y. Kolos10
LSep 7 · 09:05D. Shchegelskyi1.8312311153Y. Kolos1.8310118131WSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113LSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113LAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680WAug 30 · 15:05Y. Vorsuliak1.539890Y. Kolos2.381111113WAug 30 · 14:05Y. Kolos2.00118115113O. Rodin1.7371131162WAug 30 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.6189150Y. Kolos2.201111173LAug 16 · 16:35Y. Kolos2.75411641M. Khomenko1.4011611113
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