TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088704
Played Sep 7Finished
Dmytro Shchegelskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12103111181513––
Yurii Kolos
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Shchegelskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Shchegelskyi above · Yurii Kolos below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 83 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Dmytro Shchegelskyi at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Shchegelskyi 7–6 Yurii Kolos Yurii Kolos has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:13What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kolos
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-6 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Shchegelskyi 1508 vs Kolos 1523
Kolos
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Shchegelskyi 40% vs Kolos 20%
Shchegelskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Shchegelskyi 20% vs Kolos 40%
Kolos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Shchegelskyi +2 · Kolos +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Shchegelskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShchegelskyi 1.83 / Kolos 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Shchegelskyi)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088704
Shchegelskyi1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kolos1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShchegelskyi6wins
AwayKolos4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderShchegelskyi leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShchegelskyi100%6 of 6
AwayKolos100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shchegelskyi6Kolos4n = 10Shchegelskyi took 6 of 10
S2Shchegelskyi5Kolos5n = 10split evenly
S3Shchegelskyi4Kolos6n = 10Kolos took 6 of 10
S4Shchegelskyi3Kolos1n = 4Shchegelskyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricShchegelskyiKolosS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.832.1+1.7per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShchegelskyiKolosBasisWin rate · lifetime476 / 903 vs 49 / 10552.7%46.7%476 / 903 vs 49 / 105Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.235.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShchegelskyiShchegelskyi 1.83/Kolos 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Shchegelskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Shchegelskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi—89150Y. Kolos—1111173
WAug 2 · 19:05D. Shchegelskyi—1211133Y. Kolos—108110
WJul 27 · 11:35D. Shchegelskyi—1161112113Y. Kolos—511131072
WJul 26 · 15:05D. Shchegelskyi—11112123Y. Kolos—2311101
LJul 19 · 17:05D. Shchegelskyi—9860Y. Kolos—1111113
WMar 9 · 07:35D. Shchegelskyi—1111113Y. Kolos—6780
WMar 8 · 15:05D. Shchegelskyi—11813113Y. Kolos—9111191
LFeb 16 · 07:35D. Shchegelskyi—711671Y. Kolos—11511113
LFeb 15 · 16:05D. Shchegelskyi—8660Y. Kolos—1111113
WDec 29 · 07:35D. Shchegelskyi—1111113Y. Kolos—6550
D. Shchegelskyi10
WSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982WSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113LSep 6 · 18:35D. Shchegelskyi2.109970M. Loboda1.671111113LSep 6 · 16:35I. Hrekh1.611111103D. Shchegelskyi2.208780LSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793LSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 09:05I. Hrekh1.67111213113D. Shchegelskyi2.106101581
Y. Kolos10
LSep 7 · 09:44M. Khomenko1.281111113Y. Kolos3.505630WSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113LSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113LAug 30 · 19:05Y. Kolos1.22871171Y. Parahailo4.0011118113LAug 30 · 17:05M. Khomenko1.401111113Y. Kolos2.751680WAug 30 · 15:05Y. Vorsuliak1.539890Y. Kolos2.381111113WAug 30 · 14:05Y. Kolos2.00118115113O. Rodin1.7371131162WAug 30 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.6189150Y. Kolos2.201111173LAug 16 · 16:35Y. Kolos2.75411641M. Khomenko1.4011611113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.