TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116909
Played Sep 12Finished
Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117118––––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:08 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeYevhen Skorobahatyi to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Skorobahatyi above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Yevhen Skorobahatyi at 57.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Skorobahatyi 4–2 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:08What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skorobahatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Skorobahatyi
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorobahatyi 1549 vs Holoborodko 1591
Holoborodko
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorobahatyi 0% vs Holoborodko 60%
Holoborodko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorobahatyi 20% vs Holoborodko 60%
Holoborodko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorobahatyi -5 · Holoborodko +1
Skorobahatyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Skorobahatyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorobahatyi 1.67 / Holoborodko 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Skorobahatyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13116909
Skorobahatyi1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 17 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Holoborodko2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 72 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back26% 33 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSkorobahatyi4wins
AwayHoloborodko2wins
3 of 6 to a deciderSkorobahatyi leads 4–2, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorobahatyi75%3 of 4
AwayHoloborodkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorobahatyi4Holoborodko2n = 6Skorobahatyi took 4 of 6
S2Skorobahatyi3Holoborodko3n = 6split evenly
S3Skorobahatyi2Holoborodko4n = 6Holoborodko took 4 of 6
S4Skorobahatyi3Holoborodko1n = 4Skorobahatyi took 3 of 4
S5Skorobahatyi2Holoborodko1n = 3Skorobahatyi took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSkorobahatyiHoloborodkoS − HBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match39.536.3+3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorobahatyiHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 274 vs 324 / 62146.7%52.2%128 / 274 vs 324 / 621Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorobahatyiSkorobahatyi 1.67/Holoborodko 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Skorobahatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skorobahatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 25 · 14:40Y. Skorobahatyi351212113Y. Holoborodko29101090
WJun 21 · 10:00Y. Skorobahatyi46611711113Y. Holoborodko4011411592
WJun 20 · 17:40Y. Skorobahatyi44111111113Y. Holoborodko37813791
LMay 28 · 14:40Y. Skorobahatyi27611100Y. Holoborodko361113123
WApr 26 · 11:00Y. Skorobahatyi44111174113Y. Holoborodko3747111142
LApr 10 · 16:20Y. Skorobahatyi4111371192Y. Holoborodko39111115113
Y. Skorobahatyi10
WSep 12 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.73119911113A. Droshchynskyi2.0061111982LSep 12 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.101011631V. Maksuta1.6712811113LSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650LSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492LSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113LAug 27 · 18:00A. Derevianko1.401111113Y. Skorobahatyi2.753680WAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 16:00Y. Skorobahatyi2.383540O. Strutinskiy1.531111113
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 12 · 11:10V. Merzlikin1.8010580Y. Holoborodko1.911211113LSep 10 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.911111113Y. Holoborodko1.809720LSep 10 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6364110O. Zhyrnov1.441111133WSep 10 · 14:10A. Zozulia1.6181161192Y. Holoborodko2.20117113113WSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.4491111562Y. Holoborodko2.63116911113WSep 10 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.3687110Y. Holoborodko3.001111133LSep 9 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.91131110113Y. Holoborodko1.801121241WSep 9 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.00139711113O. Nadporozhskyi1.73111111772LSep 9 · 14:10D. Habrelyan1.501111143Y. Holoborodko2.5068120WSep 9 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.7312114872Y. Holoborodko2.001081111113
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