TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116785
Played Sep 12Finished
Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012118611311––
Volodymir Maksuta
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Skorobahatyi above · Volodymir Maksuta below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 72 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 55.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Skorobahatyi 1–2 Volodymir Maksuta Yevhen Skorobahatyi has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:55What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Maksuta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorobahatyi 1570 vs Maksuta 1596
Maksuta
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorobahatyi 0% vs Maksuta 40%
Maksuta
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorobahatyi 20% vs Maksuta 40%
Maksuta
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorobahatyi -5 · Maksuta -2
Skorobahatyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Maksuta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksuta form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorobahatyi 2.10 / Maksuta 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Maksuta)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116785
Skorobahatyi2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 18 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Maksuta1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 86 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it96% 52 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it83% 71 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkorobahatyi1wins
AwayMaksuta2wins
Maksuta leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorobahatyi2Maksuta1n = 3Skorobahatyi took 2 of 3
S2Skorobahatyi2Maksuta1n = 3Skorobahatyi took 2 of 3
S3Skorobahatyi1Maksuta2n = 3Maksuta took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkorobahatyiMaksutaS − MBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match33.035.0−2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorobahatyiMaksutaBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 282 vs 165 / 28847.9%57.3%135 / 282 vs 165 / 288Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksutaSkorobahatyi 2.10/Maksuta 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Maksuta · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maksuta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 27 · 14:30Y. Skorobahatyi—1211113V. Maksuta—10980
LMay 28 · 15:40Y. Skorobahatyi—117881V. Maksuta—71111113
LMay 19 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi—811661V. Maksuta—11511113
Y. Skorobahatyi10
LSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650LSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492LSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113LAug 27 · 18:00A. Derevianko1.401111113Y. Skorobahatyi2.753680WAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 16:00Y. Skorobahatyi2.383540O. Strutinskiy1.531111113WAug 27 · 14:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.751211113V. Maksuta1.4010980LAug 27 · 12:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.638560A. Zozulia1.441111113
V. Maksuta10
LSep 10 · 16:40V. Maksuta1.838970O. Kuzyshyn1.831111113LSep 10 · 15:10V. Maksuta1.577670A. Zozulia2.251111113WSep 10 · 13:40V. Maksuta1.3311116113M. Tiutiunnyk3.25441191LSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.4491111562Y. Holoborodko2.63116911113WSep 10 · 10:40V. Maksuta1.83119159113O. Zhyrnov1.83811131192LSep 7 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko1.80128712113V. Maksuta1.911011111082WSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta1.36712118113M. Mrykh3.00111091192WSep 7 · 16:00V. Maksuta2.631112123V. Savoliuk1.44410100LSep 7 · 14:30V. Maksuta2.108890A. Derevianko1.671111113LAug 27 · 14:30Y. Skorobahatyi2.751211113V. Maksuta1.4010980
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