TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105785
Played Sep 10Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911116119511611
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:45 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 66.5%
90 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 15–11 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:45What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Maksuta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Maksuta
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1642 vs Holoborodko 1581
Maksuta
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 60% vs Holoborodko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 40% vs Holoborodko 60%
Holoborodko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta +1 · Holoborodko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Maksuta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 1.44 / Holoborodko 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Maksuta)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105785
Maksuta1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 84 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it82% 69 of 84
Holoborodko2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 70 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back26% 33 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksuta8wins
AwayHoloborodko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMaksuta leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta77.8%7 of 9
AwayHoloborodkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta9Holoborodko1n = 10Maksuta took 9 of 10
S2Maksuta8Holoborodko2n = 10Maksuta took 8 of 10
S3Maksuta7Holoborodko3n = 10Maksuta took 7 of 10
S4Maksuta4Holoborodko2n = 6Maksuta took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksutaHoloborodkoM − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.032.8+7.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 284 vs 321 / 61657.8%52.1%164 / 284 vs 321 / 616Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksutaMaksuta 1.44/Holoborodko 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.5%
Maksuta · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 30 · 12:40V. Maksuta—117111052Y. Holoborodko—811712113
LJul 23 · 17:40V. Maksuta—11119762Y. Holoborodko—991111113
WJul 16 · 17:40V. Maksuta—1111123Y. Holoborodko—37100
WJul 14 · 14:10V. Maksuta—11119113Y. Holoborodko—481151
WJul 9 · 17:40V. Maksuta—91311143Y. Holoborodko—11117121
WJun 23 · 01:10V. Maksuta—1111113Y. Holoborodko—7880
WJun 11 · 16:10V. Maksuta—1112113Y. Holoborodko—61070
WJun 6 · 17:40V. Maksuta—11811123Y. Holoborodko—3119101
WJun 3 · 11:10V. Maksuta—121111113Y. Holoborodko—1071371
WMay 28 · 12:40V. Maksuta—1212113Y. Holoborodko—101030
V. Maksuta10
WSep 10 · 10:40V. Maksuta1.83119159113O. Zhyrnov1.83811131192LSep 7 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko1.80128712113V. Maksuta1.911011111082WSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta1.36712118113M. Mrykh3.00111091192WSep 7 · 16:00V. Maksuta2.631112123V. Savoliuk1.44410100LSep 7 · 14:30V. Maksuta2.108890A. Derevianko1.671111113LSep 7 · 12:30V. Maksuta2.00117761O. Strutinskiy1.7361111113LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 10 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.3687110Y. Holoborodko3.001111133LSep 9 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.91131110113Y. Holoborodko1.801121241WSep 9 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.00139711113O. Nadporozhskyi1.73111111772LSep 9 · 14:10D. Habrelyan1.501111143Y. Holoborodko2.5068120WSep 9 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.7312114872Y. Holoborodko2.001081111113WSep 9 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko2.008116111Y. Holoborodko1.7311911133WSep 8 · 10:00Y. Holoborodko1.3611711113O. Karpenko3.00911461LSep 8 · 08:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.91116115113Y. Holoborodko1.8091191172WSep 8 · 06:00Y. Volkov2.0012101281Y. Holoborodko1.73141210113LSep 8 · 05:00D. Habrelyan1.571111123Y. Holoborodko2.2586100
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