TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105632
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleh Kuzyshyn
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8117111113––––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:30 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeOleh Kuzyshyn to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kuzyshyn above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 61 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Oleh Kuzyshyn at 73.2%
61 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kuzyshyn 21–7 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 7 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:30What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-7 in 28
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
gap of 14 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzyshyn 1658 vs Holoborodko 1563
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzyshyn 40% vs Holoborodko 60%
Holoborodko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzyshyn 40% vs Holoborodko 60%
Holoborodko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzyshyn -2 · Holoborodko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kuzyshyn)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzyshyn 1.36 / Holoborodko 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Kuzyshyn)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105632
Kuzyshyn1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 69 of 109
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it80% 53 of 66
Holoborodko3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 70 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back26% 33 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzyshyn7wins
AwayHoloborodko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKuzyshyn leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzyshyn66.7%6 of 9
AwayHoloborodkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzyshyn9Holoborodko1n = 10Kuzyshyn took 9 of 10
S2Kuzyshyn7Holoborodko3n = 10Kuzyshyn took 7 of 10
S3Kuzyshyn5Holoborodko5n = 10split evenly
S4Kuzyshyn2Holoborodko3n = 5Holoborodko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzyshynHoloborodkoK − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match35.428.5+6.9per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzyshynHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 444 vs 320 / 61552.3%52%232 / 444 vs 320 / 615Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzyshynKuzyshyn 1.36/Holoborodko 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.2%
Kuzyshyn · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn—1111113Y. Holoborodko—7790
LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn—118671Y. Holoborodko—81111113
WSep 3 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn—1111113Y. Holoborodko—5660
WAug 27 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn—1111113Y. Holoborodko—7770
LAug 22 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn—1131061Y. Holoborodko—51112113
WAug 19 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn—912911113Y. Holoborodko—111011362
WAug 12 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn—1111113Y. Holoborodko—6380
WJul 26 · 09:05O. Kuzyshyn—11119113Y. Holoborodko—471141
LJul 25 · 16:10O. Kuzyshyn—118491Y. Holoborodko—51111113
WJul 18 · 16:10O. Kuzyshyn—1112113Y. Holoborodko—51070
O. Kuzyshyn10
LSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101LSep 6 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.50118941R. Sopivnyk2.5081111113WSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790LSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.501111113O. Varlamov2.506750WSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.571111113O. Varlamov2.259560LSep 5 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn2.105780O. Zhyrnov1.671111113LSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113LSep 5 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401071141R. Sopivnyk2.7512119113
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 9 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.91131110113Y. Holoborodko1.801121241WSep 9 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.00139711113O. Nadporozhskyi1.73111111772LSep 9 · 14:10D. Habrelyan1.501111143Y. Holoborodko2.5068120WSep 9 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.7312114872Y. Holoborodko2.001081111113WSep 9 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko2.008116111Y. Holoborodko1.7311911133WSep 8 · 10:00Y. Holoborodko1.3611711113O. Karpenko3.00911461LSep 8 · 08:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.91116115113Y. Holoborodko1.8091191172WSep 8 · 06:00Y. Volkov2.0012101281Y. Holoborodko1.73141210113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790WSep 5 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.33118671Y. Holoborodko3.2581111113
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