TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100633
Played Sep 9Finished
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311911711117117
Oleksii Nadporozhskyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Nadporozhskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Holoborodko above · Oleksii Nadporozhskyi below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksii Nadporozhskyi at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Holoborodko 1–1 Oleksii Nadporozhskyi Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:11What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Nadporozhskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Holoborodko 1567 vs Nadporozhskyi 1460
Holoborodko
Correct
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holoborodko 60% vs Nadporozhskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holoborodko 60% vs Nadporozhskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holoborodko -1 · Nadporozhskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nadporozhskyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoloborodko 2.00 / Nadporozhskyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nadporozhskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100633
Holoborodko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 68 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back26% 32 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Nadporozhskyi1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHoloborodko1wins
AwayNadporozhskyi1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHoloborodkoNadporozhskyiH − NBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match42.041.5+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoloborodkoNadporozhskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 613 vs 46 / 14052%32.9%319 / 613 vs 46 / 140Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadporozhskyiHoloborodko 2.00/Nadporozhskyi 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nadporozhskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 3 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko—1171091O. Nadporozhskyi—41112113
WAug 6 · 13:40Y. Holoborodko—1011411113O. Nadporozhskyi—12911492
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 9 · 14:10D. Habrelyan1.501111143Y. Holoborodko2.5068120WSep 9 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.7312114872Y. Holoborodko2.001081111113WSep 9 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko2.008116111Y. Holoborodko1.7311911133WSep 8 · 10:00Y. Holoborodko1.3611711113O. Karpenko3.00911461LSep 8 · 08:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.91116115113Y. Holoborodko1.8091191172WSep 8 · 06:00Y. Volkov2.0012101281Y. Holoborodko1.73141210113LSep 8 · 05:00D. Habrelyan1.571111123Y. Holoborodko2.2586100WSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113WSep 6 · 10:00O. Varlamov1.73111112822Y. Holoborodko2.00841411113LSep 6 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.757790
O. Nadporozhskyi10
WSep 9 · 14:40Y. Bondarenko1.739890O. Nadporozhskyi2.001111113LSep 9 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.0011126113O. Nadporozhskyi1.739101161WSep 9 · 10:40V. Merzlikin2.205370O. Nadporozhskyi1.611111113WSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091LSep 3 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn2.2081111113O. Nadporozhskyi1.61116221WSep 3 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov1.6111951282O. Nadporozhskyi2.204111110113LSep 3 · 12:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.836111181D. Habrelyan1.8311613113WSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WAug 6 · 16:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.911111123M. Tiutiunnyk1.8078100LAug 6 · 15:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.007990M. Deineha1.731111113
Upcoming Matches
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O. Nadporozhskyi
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