TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100704
Played Sep 9Finished
Yurii Bondarenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811911––––
Oleksii Nadporozhskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYurii Bondarenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Bondarenko above · Oleksii Nadporozhskyi below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 59 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Yurii Bondarenko at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:13What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bondarenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1630 vs Nadporozhskyi 1436
Bondarenko
Wrong
both rated, 194 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 80% vs Nadporozhskyi 60%
Bondarenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 50% vs Nadporozhskyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko +1 · Nadporozhskyi -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bondarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bondarenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 1.73 / Nadporozhskyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bondarenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100704
Bondarenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 16 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Nadporozhskyi2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoNadporozhskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 96 vs 45 / 13953.1%32.4%51 / 96 vs 45 / 139Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.636.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BondarenkoBondarenko 1.73/Nadporozhskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bondarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nadporozhskyi won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Bondarenko10
WSep 9 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko1.8011137113M. Tiutiunnyk1.917111171WSep 9 · 13:10Y. Bondarenko1.531111113D. Habrelyan2.388730LSep 9 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko2.008116111Y. Holoborodko1.7311911133WSep 2 · 16:40O. Karpenko2.63123661Y. Bondarenko1.44101111113WSep 2 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko2.501111113Y. Holoborodko1.507870WSep 2 · 14:40Y. Bondarenko1.50812119113D. Habrelyan2.50111091152LSep 2 · 13:10Y. Bondarenko1.67451191O. Zhyrnov2.1011119113LSep 2 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko1.73111071162M. Tiutiunnyk2.00412118113LAug 26 · 15:59Y. Holoborodko1.50111178113Y. Bondarenko2.5077111172WAug 26 · 14:10O. Varlamov2.50117961Y. Bondarenko1.5061111113
O. Nadporozhskyi10
LSep 9 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.0011126113O. Nadporozhskyi1.739101161WSep 9 · 10:40V. Merzlikin2.205370O. Nadporozhskyi1.611111113WSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091LSep 3 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn2.2081111113O. Nadporozhskyi1.61116221WSep 3 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov1.6111951282O. Nadporozhskyi2.204111110113LSep 3 · 12:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.836111181D. Habrelyan1.8311613113WSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WAug 6 · 16:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.911111123M. Tiutiunnyk1.8078100LAug 6 · 15:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.007990M. Deineha1.731111113LAug 6 · 13:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.8312911492Y. Holoborodko1.831011411113
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