TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100488
Played Sep 9Finished
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191210611116––
Oleksii Nadporozhskyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Nadporozhskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Tiutiunnyk above · Oleksii Nadporozhskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 76 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Oleksii Nadporozhskyi at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Tiutiunnyk 1–2 Oleksii Nadporozhskyi Maksym Tiutiunnyk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:27What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Nadporozhskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1584 vs Nadporozhskyi 1444
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 60% vs Nadporozhskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 60% vs Nadporozhskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk -2 · Nadporozhskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nadporozhskyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 2.00 / Nadporozhskyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nadporozhskyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100488
Tiutiunnyk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog40% won 35 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Nadporozhskyi1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk1wins
AwayNadporozhskyi2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderNadporozhskyi leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk2Nadporozhskyi1n = 3Tiutiunnyk took 2 of 3
S2Tiutiunnyk1Nadporozhskyi2n = 3Nadporozhskyi took 2 of 3
S3Tiutiunnyk1Nadporozhskyi2n = 3Nadporozhskyi took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykNadporozhskyiT − NBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match38.339.3−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykNadporozhskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 379 vs 45 / 13847.5%32.6%180 / 379 vs 45 / 138Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NadporozhskyiTiutiunnyk 2.00/Nadporozhskyi 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nadporozhskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk—1211910102O. Nadporozhskyi—1091112123
LAug 6 · 16:40M. Tiutiunnyk—78100O. Nadporozhskyi—1111123
WApr 9 · 13:10M. Tiutiunnyk—11511113O. Nadporozhskyi—111991
M. Tiutiunnyk10
LSep 9 · 11:40D. Habrelyan2.1011119113M. Tiutiunnyk1.67681151LSep 8 · 11:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.50814791O. Karpenko2.50111211113WSep 8 · 09:00Y. Volkov2.2511113692M. Tiutiunnyk1.57271111113WSep 8 · 08:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.91116115113Y. Holoborodko1.8091191172WSep 8 · 07:00D. Habrelyan2.1011691192M. Tiutiunnyk1.67211117113WSep 3 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.571011115113D. Habrelyan2.2512781162LSep 3 · 15:10O. Zhyrnov1.53111110113M. Tiutiunnyk2.38751261WSep 3 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk2.10671111113Y. Holoborodko1.6711116562WSep 3 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114372M. Tiutiunnyk2.20471111113LSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123
O. Nadporozhskyi10
WSep 9 · 10:40V. Merzlikin2.205370O. Nadporozhskyi1.611111113WSep 3 · 17:40O. Nadporozhskyi2.1041112113Y. Holoborodko1.671171091LSep 3 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn2.2081111113O. Nadporozhskyi1.61116221WSep 3 · 13:40O. Zhyrnov1.6111951282O. Nadporozhskyi2.204111110113LSep 3 · 12:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.836111181D. Habrelyan1.8311613113WSep 3 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.001211910102O. Nadporozhskyi1.731091112123WAug 6 · 16:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.911111123M. Tiutiunnyk1.8078100LAug 6 · 15:10O. Nadporozhskyi2.007990M. Deineha1.731111113LAug 6 · 13:40O. Nadporozhskyi1.8312911492Y. Holoborodko1.831011411113WAug 6 · 12:10O. Nadporozhskyi1.6712911113Y. Kovshun2.101011591
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