TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100631
Played Sep 9Finished
Yurii Bondarenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171311711117––
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Tiutiunnyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYurii Bondarenko above · Maksym Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 78 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Maksym Tiutiunnyk at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Yurii Bondarenko 1–2 Maksym Tiutiunnyk Yurii Bondarenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:09What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Bondarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bondarenko 1609 vs Tiutiunnyk 1600
Bondarenko
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bondarenko 60% vs Tiutiunnyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bondarenko 50% vs Tiutiunnyk 70%
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bondarenko -1 · Tiutiunnyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tiutiunnyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBondarenko 1.80 / Tiutiunnyk 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100631
Bondarenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 16 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Tiutiunnyk1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 35 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back24% 12 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBondarenko1wins
AwayTiutiunnyk2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBondarenko33.3%1 of 3
AwayTiutiunnykn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bondarenko3Tiutiunnyk0n = 3Bondarenko took 3 of 3
S2Bondarenko1Tiutiunnyk2n = 3Tiutiunnyk took 2 of 3
S3Bondarenko1Tiutiunnyk2n = 3Tiutiunnyk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBondarenkoTiutiunnykB − TBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match41.037.0+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBondarenkoTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 97 vs 182 / 38152.6%47.8%51 / 97 vs 182 / 381Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykBondarenko 1.80/Tiutiunnyk 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bondarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 2 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko—111071162M. Tiutiunnyk—412118113
WFeb 15 · 09:30Y. Bondarenko—1211113M. Tiutiunnyk—10930
LOct 5 · 09:30Y. Bondarenko—11491192M. Tiutiunnyk—511115113
Y. Bondarenko10
LSep 9 · 14:40Y. Bondarenko1.739890O. Nadporozhskyi2.001111113WSep 9 · 13:10Y. Bondarenko1.531111113D. Habrelyan2.388730LSep 9 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko2.008116111Y. Holoborodko1.7311911133WSep 2 · 16:40O. Karpenko2.63123661Y. Bondarenko1.44101111113WSep 2 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko2.501111113Y. Holoborodko1.507870WSep 2 · 14:40Y. Bondarenko1.50812119113D. Habrelyan2.50111091152LSep 2 · 13:10Y. Bondarenko1.67451191O. Zhyrnov2.1011119113LSep 2 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko1.73111071162M. Tiutiunnyk2.00412118113LAug 26 · 15:59Y. Holoborodko1.50111178113Y. Bondarenko2.5077111172WAug 26 · 14:10O. Varlamov2.50117961Y. Bondarenko1.5061111113
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 9 · 13:40V. Merzlikin1.44101281192M. Tiutiunnyk2.631210115113WSep 9 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.0011126113O. Nadporozhskyi1.739101161LSep 9 · 11:40D. Habrelyan2.1011119113M. Tiutiunnyk1.67681151LSep 8 · 11:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.50814791O. Karpenko2.50111211113WSep 8 · 09:00Y. Volkov2.2511113692M. Tiutiunnyk1.57271111113WSep 8 · 08:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.91116115113Y. Holoborodko1.8091191172WSep 8 · 07:00D. Habrelyan2.1011691192M. Tiutiunnyk1.67211117113WSep 3 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.571011115113D. Habrelyan2.2512781162LSep 3 · 15:10O. Zhyrnov1.53111110113M. Tiutiunnyk2.38751261WSep 2 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko1.73111071162M. Tiutiunnyk2.00412118113
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