TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106100
Played Sep 10Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1189111513911119
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 107 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 54.0%
107 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 6–10 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Volodymir Maksuta has won 6 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:02What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zhyrnov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-10 in 16
Zhyrnov
Wrong
gap of 4 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1628 vs Zhyrnov 1731
Zhyrnov
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 40% vs Zhyrnov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 30% vs Zhyrnov 60%
Zhyrnov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta -1 · Zhyrnov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zhyrnov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zhyrnov form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 1.83 / Zhyrnov 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13106100
Maksuta1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Zhyrnov1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksuta3wins
AwayZhyrnov7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZhyrnov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta50%2 of 4
AwayZhyrnov83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta4Zhyrnov6n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S2Maksuta4Zhyrnov6n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S3Maksuta6Zhyrnov4n = 10Maksuta took 6 of 10
S4Maksuta1Zhyrnov6n = 7Zhyrnov took 6 of 7
S5Maksuta1Zhyrnov2n = 3Zhyrnov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksutaZhyrnovM − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.238.5−2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 283 vs 382 / 76757.6%49.8%163 / 283 vs 382 / 767Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovMaksuta 1.83/Zhyrnov 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maksuta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 30 · 13:40V. Maksuta—91111113O. Zhyrnov—118581
WJul 29 · 15:40V. Maksuta—119128123O. Zhyrnov—7111011102
LJul 16 · 15:40V. Maksuta—911131182O. Zhyrnov—1191113113
LJul 14 · 13:10V. Maksuta—71111872O. Zhyrnov—116711113
LJul 9 · 13:40V. Maksuta—31080O. Zhyrnov—1112113
LJul 8 · 17:40V. Maksuta—117371O. Zhyrnov—71111113
WJun 18 · 21:50V. Maksuta—1111113O. Zhyrnov—3930
LMay 28 · 13:40V. Maksuta—119861O. Zhyrnov—81111113
LMay 27 · 17:10V. Maksuta—6811101O. Zhyrnov—11115123
LMay 6 · 16:10V. Maksuta—65100O. Zhyrnov—1111123
V. Maksuta10
LSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.4491111562Y. Holoborodko2.63116911113LSep 7 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko1.80128712113V. Maksuta1.911011111082WSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta1.36712118113M. Mrykh3.00111091192WSep 7 · 16:00V. Maksuta2.631112123V. Savoliuk1.44410100LSep 7 · 14:30V. Maksuta2.108890A. Derevianko1.671111113LSep 7 · 12:30V. Maksuta2.00117761O. Strutinskiy1.7361111113LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103WSep 3 · 13:30V. Maksuta1.281111133Y. Opryshchenko3.5026110
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 8 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov3.7515127113O. Strutinskiy1.2513101191LSep 8 · 10:50E. Hrytsenko1.73711116113O. Zhyrnov2.0011991192LSep 8 · 08:50A. Derevianko1.401111113O. Zhyrnov2.754650LSep 8 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov2.20111010101I. Nitchenko1.6171212123WSep 8 · 06:50M. Mrykh1.44116591O. Zhyrnov2.6341111113WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101WSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 07:30O. Zhyrnov1.5011411113R. Sopivnyk2.50511631LSep 6 · 06:00O. Zhyrnov1.8079120O. Varlamov1.911111143WSep 6 · 04:30O. Zhyrnov1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.503960
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