TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105973
Played Sep 10Finished
Volodymir Maksuta
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114114611119––
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:15 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymir Maksuta above · Maksym Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 67 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 72.5%
67 points played in total.
H2H Volodymir Maksuta 9–1 Maksym Tiutiunnyk Maksym Tiutiunnyk has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:15What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Maksuta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-1 in 10
Maksuta
Correct
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maksuta 1629 vs Tiutiunnyk 1603
Maksuta
Correct
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maksuta 60% vs Tiutiunnyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maksuta 30% vs Tiutiunnyk 60%
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maksuta -1 · Tiutiunnyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Maksuta) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tiutiunnyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaksuta 1.33 / Tiutiunnyk 3.25
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Maksuta)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13105973
Maksuta1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite65% won 84 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it82% 69 of 84
Tiutiunnyk3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 38 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaksuta9wins
AwayTiutiunnyk1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMaksuta leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaksuta100%5 of 5
AwayTiutiunnyk20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maksuta5Tiutiunnyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Maksuta8Tiutiunnyk2n = 10Maksuta took 8 of 10
S3Maksuta7Tiutiunnyk3n = 10Maksuta took 7 of 10
S4Maksuta3Tiutiunnyk2n = 5Maksuta took 3 of 5
S5Maksuta4Tiutiunnyk0n = 4Maksuta took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaksutaTiutiunnykM − TBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.931.6+7.3per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaksutaTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime164 / 285 vs 184 / 38557.5%47.8%164 / 285 vs 184 / 385Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksutaMaksuta 1.33/Tiutiunnyk 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Maksuta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Maksuta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 5 · 14:10V. Maksuta—1111113M. Tiutiunnyk—7150
WJul 16 · 12:40V. Maksuta—11138113M. Tiutiunnyk—7111181
WJun 11 · 14:10V. Maksuta—1461111123M. Tiutiunnyk—161197102
WJun 6 · 12:40V. Maksuta—1111113M. Tiutiunnyk—8270
WMay 27 · 13:10V. Maksuta—1111113M. Tiutiunnyk—5460
WApr 1 · 13:10V. Maksuta—1111113M. Tiutiunnyk—6690
WMar 11 · 14:40V. Maksuta—1111711113M. Tiutiunnyk—13411972
LMar 4 · 16:40V. Maksuta—4690M. Tiutiunnyk—1111113
WFeb 21 · 12:10V. Maksuta—71111683M. Tiutiunnyk—11581142
WFeb 7 · 12:40V. Maksuta—1111113113M. Tiutiunnyk—13291192
V. Maksuta10
LSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.4491111562Y. Holoborodko2.63116911113WSep 10 · 10:40V. Maksuta1.83119159113O. Zhyrnov1.83811131192LSep 7 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko1.80128712113V. Maksuta1.911011111082WSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta1.36712118113M. Mrykh3.00111091192WSep 7 · 16:00V. Maksuta2.631112123V. Savoliuk1.44410100LSep 7 · 14:30V. Maksuta2.108890A. Derevianko1.671111113LSep 7 · 12:30V. Maksuta2.00117761O. Strutinskiy1.7361111113LSep 3 · 18:00V. Maksuta1.733980E. Hrytsenko2.001111113LSep 3 · 16:30V. Maksuta2.008890A. Derevianko1.731111113LSep 3 · 15:00V. Maksuta1.917111151M. Deineha1.8011138103
M. Tiutiunnyk10
LSep 10 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.381112481O. Zhyrnov1.5351411113WSep 10 · 11:40A. Zozulia1.8379130M. Tiutiunnyk1.831111153WSep 9 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.91131110113Y. Holoborodko1.801121241LSep 9 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko1.8011137113M. Tiutiunnyk1.917111171WSep 9 · 13:40V. Merzlikin1.44101281192M. Tiutiunnyk2.631210115113WSep 9 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.0011126113O. Nadporozhskyi1.739101161LSep 9 · 11:40D. Habrelyan2.1011119113M. Tiutiunnyk1.67681151LSep 8 · 11:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.50814791O. Karpenko2.50111211113WSep 8 · 09:00Y. Volkov2.2511113692M. Tiutiunnyk1.57271111113WSep 8 · 08:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.91116115113Y. Holoborodko1.8091191172
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