TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105641
Played Sep 10Finished
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6114111113––––
Oleksandr Zhyrnov
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:32 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Zhyrnov to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Holoborodko above · Oleksandr Zhyrnov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 56 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Oleksandr Zhyrnov at 68.5%
56 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Holoborodko 16–35 Oleksandr Zhyrnov Yevhenii Holoborodko has won 16 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:32What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Zhyrnov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-35 in 51
Zhyrnov
Correct
gap of 19 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holoborodko 1603 vs Zhyrnov 1736
Zhyrnov
Correct
both rated, 133 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holoborodko 80% vs Zhyrnov 60%
Holoborodko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holoborodko 70% vs Zhyrnov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holoborodko +3 · Zhyrnov +2
Holoborodko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Zhyrnov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHoloborodko 2.63 / Zhyrnov 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Zhyrnov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105641
Holoborodko2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 70 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back26% 33 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 68
Zhyrnov1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 120 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it95% 61 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it84% 91 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHoloborodko3wins
AwayZhyrnov7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZhyrnov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHoloborodkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZhyrnov87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holoborodko2Zhyrnov8n = 10Zhyrnov took 8 of 10
S2Holoborodko4Zhyrnov6n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S3Holoborodko4Zhyrnov6n = 10Zhyrnov took 6 of 10
S4Holoborodko3Zhyrnov2n = 5Holoborodko took 3 of 5
S5Holoborodko1Zhyrnov2n = 3Zhyrnov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHoloborodkoZhyrnovH − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.637.9−4.3per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHoloborodkoZhyrnovBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 618 vs 380 / 76652.3%49.6%323 / 618 vs 380 / 766Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZhyrnovHoloborodko 2.63/Zhyrnov 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Zhyrnov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zhyrnov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 04:30Y. Holoborodko—3960O. Zhyrnov—1111113
LSep 5 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko—86130O. Zhyrnov—1111153
LSep 3 · 12:10Y. Holoborodko—51111762O. Zhyrnov—119911113
LSep 2 · 11:40Y. Holoborodko—91281162O. Zhyrnov—1110115113
LAug 30 · 10:00Y. Holoborodko—8590O. Zhyrnov—1111113
WAug 27 · 11:10Y. Holoborodko—1151011113O. Zhyrnov—71112992
WAug 26 · 13:40Y. Holoborodko—71111113O. Zhyrnov—118751
WAug 22 · 11:10Y. Holoborodko—1111113O. Zhyrnov—8790
LAug 16 · 11:00Y. Holoborodko—971171O. Zhyrnov—11116113
LAug 1 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko—91180O. Zhyrnov—1113113
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 10 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.911111113Y. Holoborodko1.809720WSep 10 · 14:10A. Zozulia1.6181161192Y. Holoborodko2.20117113113WSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.4491111562Y. Holoborodko2.63116911113WSep 10 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.3687110Y. Holoborodko3.001111133LSep 9 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.91131110113Y. Holoborodko1.801121241WSep 9 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.00139711113O. Nadporozhskyi1.73111111772LSep 9 · 14:10D. Habrelyan1.501111143Y. Holoborodko2.5068120WSep 9 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.7312114872Y. Holoborodko2.001081111113WSep 9 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko2.008116111Y. Holoborodko1.7311911133WSep 8 · 10:00Y. Holoborodko1.3611711113O. Karpenko3.00911461
O. Zhyrnov10
WSep 10 · 17:10A. Zozulia1.9110490O. Zhyrnov1.801211113WSep 10 · 14:40O. Kuzyshyn2.206590O. Zhyrnov1.611111113WSep 10 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.381112481O. Zhyrnov1.5351411113LSep 10 · 10:40V. Maksuta1.83119159113O. Zhyrnov1.83811131192WSep 8 · 12:50O. Zhyrnov3.7515127113O. Strutinskiy1.2513101191LSep 8 · 10:50E. Hrytsenko1.73711116113O. Zhyrnov2.0011991192LSep 8 · 08:50A. Derevianko1.401111113O. Zhyrnov2.754650LSep 8 · 07:50O. Zhyrnov2.20111010101I. Nitchenko1.6171212123WSep 8 · 06:50M. Mrykh1.44116591O. Zhyrnov2.6341111113WSep 6 · 10:30O. Zhyrnov1.6712137113O. Kuzyshyn2.10101111101
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