TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105719
Played Sep 10Finished
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117112––––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaksym Tiutiunnyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Tiutiunnyk above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 51 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Maksym Tiutiunnyk at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Tiutiunnyk 14–20 Yevhenii Holoborodko Maksym Tiutiunnyk has won 14 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:28What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Holoborodko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-20 in 34
Holoborodko
Wrong
gap of 6 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1594 vs Holoborodko 1594
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 60% vs Holoborodko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 50% vs Holoborodko 70%
Holoborodko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk +1 · Holoborodko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tiutiunnyk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 1.91 / Holoborodko 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13105719
Tiutiunnyk1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 38 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Holoborodko1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 123 of 227
Up 2–0, closes it91% 51 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it69% 78 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk7wins
AwayHoloborodko3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnyk62.5%5 of 8
AwayHoloborodkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk8Holoborodko2n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 8 of 10
S2Tiutiunnyk3Holoborodko7n = 10Holoborodko took 7 of 10
S3Tiutiunnyk6Holoborodko4n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 6 of 10
S4Tiutiunnyk6Holoborodko4n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 6 of 10
S5Tiutiunnyk4Holoborodko3n = 7Tiutiunnyk took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykHoloborodkoT − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match47.442.3+5.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 387 vs 323 / 61947.8%52.2%185 / 387 vs 323 / 619Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykTiutiunnyk 1.91/Holoborodko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk—131110113Y. Holoborodko—1121241
WSep 8 · 08:00M. Tiutiunnyk—116115113Y. Holoborodko—91191172
WSep 3 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk—671111113Y. Holoborodko—11116562
WSep 2 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk—91111123Y. Holoborodko—1169101
LSep 1 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk—1311111092Y. Holoborodko—1113712113
WAug 6 · 15:40M. Tiutiunnyk—1111511113Y. Holoborodko—61311662
LAug 2 · 10:35M. Tiutiunnyk—11891652Y. Holoborodko—8111114113
LAug 1 · 11:10M. Tiutiunnyk—1111129102Y. Holoborodko—441411123
WJul 16 · 16:10M. Tiutiunnyk—11711113Y. Holoborodko—711861
WJul 2 · 14:40M. Tiutiunnyk—119137113Y. Holoborodko—311111182
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 10 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.73811813122M. Tiutiunnyk2.001191111143LSep 10 · 13:40V. Maksuta1.3311116113M. Tiutiunnyk3.25441191LSep 10 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.381112481O. Zhyrnov1.5351411113WSep 10 · 11:40A. Zozulia1.8379130M. Tiutiunnyk1.831111153WSep 9 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.91131110113Y. Holoborodko1.801121241LSep 9 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko1.8011137113M. Tiutiunnyk1.917111171WSep 9 · 13:40V. Merzlikin1.44101281192M. Tiutiunnyk2.631210115113WSep 9 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.0011126113O. Nadporozhskyi1.739101161LSep 9 · 11:40D. Habrelyan2.1011119113M. Tiutiunnyk1.67681151LSep 8 · 11:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.50814791O. Karpenko2.50111211113
Y. Holoborodko10
LSep 10 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.6364110O. Zhyrnov1.441111133WSep 10 · 14:10A. Zozulia1.6181161192Y. Holoborodko2.20117113113WSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.4491111562Y. Holoborodko2.63116911113WSep 10 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.3687110Y. Holoborodko3.001111133LSep 9 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.91131110113Y. Holoborodko1.801121241WSep 9 · 16:10Y. Holoborodko2.00139711113O. Nadporozhskyi1.73111111772LSep 9 · 14:10D. Habrelyan1.501111143Y. Holoborodko2.5068120WSep 9 · 12:10V. Merzlikin1.7312114872Y. Holoborodko2.001081111113WSep 9 · 11:10Y. Bondarenko2.008116111Y. Holoborodko1.7311911133WSep 8 · 10:00Y. Holoborodko1.3611711113O. Karpenko3.00911461
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