TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116650
Played Sep 12Finished
Yevhen Skorobahatyi
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116911911119118
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeYevhen Skorobahatyi to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Skorobahatyi above · Andrii Droshchynskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Yevhen Skorobahatyi at 58.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Skorobahatyi 3–0 Andrii Droshchynskyi Andrii Droshchynskyi has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:25What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skorobahatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Skorobahatyi
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorobahatyi 1565 vs Droshchynskyi 1717
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 152 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorobahatyi 20% vs Droshchynskyi 60%
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorobahatyi 20% vs Droshchynskyi 70%
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorobahatyi +1 · Droshchynskyi +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skorobahatyi) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorobahatyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorobahatyi 1.73 / Droshchynskyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skorobahatyi)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13116650
Skorobahatyi1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite68% won 17 of 25
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Droshchynskyi2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 17 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkorobahatyi3wins
AwayDroshchynskyi0wins
Skorobahatyi leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorobahatyi100%3 of 3
AwayDroshchynskyin = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorobahatyi3Droshchynskyi0n = 3Skorobahatyi took 3 of 3
S2Skorobahatyi2Droshchynskyi1n = 3Skorobahatyi took 2 of 3
S3Skorobahatyi3Droshchynskyi0n = 3Skorobahatyi took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkorobahatyiDroshchynskyiS − DBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match36.326.7+9.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorobahatyiDroshchynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 275 vs 118 / 20546.9%57.6%129 / 275 vs 118 / 205Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorobahatyiSkorobahatyi 1.73/Droshchynskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skorobahatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skorobahatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 25 · 16:40Y. Skorobahatyi351111133A. Droshchynskyi2393110
WJun 21 · 08:00Y. Skorobahatyi4111811113A. Droshchynskyi30611851
WApr 11 · 08:20Y. Skorobahatyi331111113A. Droshchynskyi279990
Y. Skorobahatyi10
WSep 12 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.671111113Y. Holoborodko2.106780LSep 12 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.101011631V. Maksuta1.6712811113LSep 4 · 12:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.501415891O. Strutinskiy1.50161311113LSep 4 · 10:20Y. Opryshchenko1.801111113Y. Skorobahatyi1.915650LSep 4 · 09:20Y. Skorobahatyi2.507101271I. Nitchenko1.50111210113LSep 4 · 08:20A. Derevianko1.36581111113Y. Skorobahatyi3.0011115492LSep 4 · 06:50Y. Skorobahatyi2.20913381E. Hrytsenko1.61111111113LAug 27 · 18:00A. Derevianko1.401111113Y. Skorobahatyi2.753680WAug 27 · 17:00Y. Skorobahatyi1.911111137113M. Deineha1.8096151182LAug 27 · 16:00Y. Skorobahatyi2.383540O. Strutinskiy1.531111113
A. Droshchynskyi10
WSep 12 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi2.751111113V. Maksuta1.404490WSep 12 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk3.258280A. Droshchynskyi1.331111113LSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113LSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:10A. Droshchynskyi1.44111162O. Varlamov2.639860
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