TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13118597
Played Sep 12Finished
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114114119––––
Volodymir Maksuta
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:03 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymir Maksuta to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Droshchynskyi above · Volodymir Maksuta below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 50 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Volodymir Maksuta at 61.9%
50 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Droshchynskyi 0–3 Volodymir Maksuta Andrii Droshchynskyi has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:03What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Maksuta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Maksuta
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Droshchynskyi 1707 vs Maksuta 1617
Droshchynskyi
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Maksuta 40%
Droshchynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Droshchynskyi 70% vs Maksuta 50%
Droshchynskyi
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Droshchynskyi +1 · Maksuta +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Maksuta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksuta form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDroshchynskyi 2.75 / Maksuta 1.40
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Maksuta)-4.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13118597
Droshchynskyi2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 17 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Maksuta1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 86 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it96% 52 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it83% 71 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDroshchynskyi0wins
AwayMaksuta3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMaksuta leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Droshchynskyi1Maksuta2n = 3Maksuta took 2 of 3
S2Droshchynskyi1Maksuta2n = 3Maksuta took 2 of 3
S3Droshchynskyi0Maksuta3n = 3Maksuta took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricDroshchynskyiMaksutaD − MBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match28.336.7−8.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDroshchynskyiMaksutaBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 204 vs 166 / 28957.4%57.4%117 / 204 vs 166 / 289Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksutaDroshchynskyi 2.75/Maksuta 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Maksuta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Droshchynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJun 23 · 24:10A. Droshchynskyi279990V. Maksuta331111113
LApr 12 · 07:00A. Droshchynskyi3811117632V. Maksuta44651111113
LJan 9 · 12:40A. Droshchynskyi208750V. Maksuta331111113
A. Droshchynskyi10
LSep 12 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.73119911113A. Droshchynskyi2.0061111982WSep 12 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk3.258280A. Droshchynskyi1.331111113LSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113LSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:10A. Droshchynskyi1.44111162O. Varlamov2.639860
V. Maksuta10
WSep 12 · 10:40Y. Skorobahatyi2.101011631V. Maksuta1.6712811113LSep 10 · 16:40V. Maksuta1.838970O. Kuzyshyn1.831111113LSep 10 · 15:10V. Maksuta1.577670A. Zozulia2.251111113WSep 10 · 13:40V. Maksuta1.3311116113M. Tiutiunnyk3.25441191LSep 10 · 12:10V. Maksuta1.4491111562Y. Holoborodko2.63116911113WSep 10 · 10:40V. Maksuta1.83119159113O. Zhyrnov1.83811131192LSep 7 · 18:00E. Hrytsenko1.80128712113V. Maksuta1.911011111082WSep 7 · 17:00V. Maksuta1.36712118113M. Mrykh3.00111091192WSep 7 · 16:00V. Maksuta2.631112123V. Savoliuk1.44410100LSep 7 · 14:30V. Maksuta2.108890A. Derevianko1.671111113
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