TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117301
Played Sep 12Finished
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811211811––––
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Tiutiunnyk above · Andrii Droshchynskyi below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 51 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 72.5%
51 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Tiutiunnyk 2–7 Andrii Droshchynskyi Maksym Tiutiunnyk has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Droshchynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Droshchynskyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1608 vs Droshchynskyi 1688
Droshchynskyi
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 60% vs Droshchynskyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 60% vs Droshchynskyi 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk +2 · Droshchynskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Droshchynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Droshchynskyi form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 3.25 / Droshchynskyi 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 73%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13117301
Tiutiunnyk3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog42% won 41 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back23% 12 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Droshchynskyi1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 71 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it73% 56 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk2wins
AwayDroshchynskyi7wins
Droshchynskyi leads 7–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnykn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDroshchynskyi87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk1Droshchynskyi8n = 9Droshchynskyi took 8 of 9
S2Tiutiunnyk3Droshchynskyi6n = 9Droshchynskyi took 6 of 9
S3Tiutiunnyk4Droshchynskyi5n = 9Droshchynskyi took 5 of 9
S4Tiutiunnyk1Droshchynskyi3n = 4Droshchynskyi took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away444%
These 9 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykDroshchynskyiT − DBasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set18−7of 9Avg pointsper match26.635.1−8.5per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykDroshchynskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 388 vs 116 / 20347.9%57.1%186 / 388 vs 116 / 203Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiTiutiunnyk 3.25/Droshchynskyi 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.5%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Droshchynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 2 · 12:05M. Tiutiunnyk—7611111A. Droshchynskyi—11118133
LJul 24 · 12:30M. Tiutiunnyk—211531A. Droshchynskyi—11711113
LJun 25 · 11:10M. Tiutiunnyk—4830A. Droshchynskyi—1111113
WJun 7 · 05:30M. Tiutiunnyk—1215113A. Droshchynskyi—101370
LMay 14 · 17:20M. Tiutiunnyk—7890A. Droshchynskyi—1111113
LMay 10 · 09:30M. Tiutiunnyk—2890A. Droshchynskyi—1111113
LMay 9 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk—10360A. Droshchynskyi—1211113
LMay 3 · 07:00M. Tiutiunnyk—1031151A. Droshchynskyi—12115113
WFeb 15 · 12:00M. Tiutiunnyk—61111113A. Droshchynskyi—117761
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 10 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.911111113Y. Holoborodko1.809720WSep 10 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.73811813122M. Tiutiunnyk2.001191111143LSep 10 · 13:40V. Maksuta1.3311116113M. Tiutiunnyk3.25441191LSep 10 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.381112481O. Zhyrnov1.5351411113WSep 10 · 11:40A. Zozulia1.8379130M. Tiutiunnyk1.831111153WSep 9 · 17:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.91131110113Y. Holoborodko1.801121241LSep 9 · 15:40Y. Bondarenko1.8011137113M. Tiutiunnyk1.917111171WSep 9 · 13:40V. Merzlikin1.44101281192M. Tiutiunnyk2.631210115113WSep 9 · 12:40M. Tiutiunnyk2.0011126113O. Nadporozhskyi1.739101161LSep 9 · 11:40D. Habrelyan2.1011119113M. Tiutiunnyk1.67681151
A. Droshchynskyi10
LSep 6 · 11:00A. Droshchynskyi1.40951181Y. Holoborodko2.7511115113LSep 6 · 09:00O. Zhyrnov1.911111113A. Droshchynskyi1.807990WSep 6 · 08:00A. Droshchynskyi1.4011511133O. Varlamov2.754111111WSep 6 · 07:00O. Kuzyshyn1.61761141A. Droshchynskyi2.2011115113WSep 6 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi1.531111133R. Sopivnyk2.3876110LSep 5 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6111114103A. Droshchynskyi2.20731121WSep 5 · 15:40A. Droshchynskyi1.83118116113O. Zhyrnov1.8331161142WSep 5 · 13:10A. Droshchynskyi1.44111162O. Varlamov2.639860WSep 5 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi1.501111113Y. Holoborodko2.509760WAug 29 · 16:40V. Merzlikin2.751210671A. Droshchynskyi1.40101211113
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