TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116817
Played Sep 12Finished
Dmytro Neborak
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171141211––––
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Shkurupii to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Neborak above · Oleksandr Shkurupii below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 12-11
Point 56 set 3, 12-11 — our read held Oleksandr Shkurupii at 60.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Neborak 59–132 Oleksandr Shkurupii Dmytro Neborak has won 59 of their 191 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:54What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Shkurupii
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-132 in 191
Shkurupii
Wrong
gap of 73 in 191, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Neborak 1680 vs Shkurupii 1670
Neborak
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Neborak 80% vs Shkurupii 20%
Neborak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Neborak 70% vs Shkurupii 20%
Neborak
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Neborak -1 · Shkurupii -3
Shkurupii
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Shkurupii)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shkurupii form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNeborak 2.25 / Shkurupii 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Shkurupii)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13116817
Neborak2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 115 of 320
Down 0–1, comes back17% 31 of 187
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 116
Shkurupii1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 70 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it85% 41 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it73% 55 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNeborak6wins
AwayShkurupii4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderNeborak leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNeborak100%5 of 5
AwayShkurupii80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Neborak5Shkurupii5n = 10split evenly
S2Neborak6Shkurupii4n = 10Neborak took 6 of 10
S3Neborak6Shkurupii4n = 10Neborak took 6 of 10
S4Neborak2Shkurupii3n = 5Shkurupii took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNeborakShkurupiiN − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.032.8+3.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNeborakShkurupiiBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 839 vs 372 / 77136.1%48.3%303 / 839 vs 372 / 771Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShkurupiiNeborak 2.25/Shkurupii 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Shkurupii · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Neborak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 07:30D. Neborak391115133O. Shkurupii25113110
LAug 30 · 06:30D. Neborak45101111131O. Shkurupii4812138153
WAug 29 · 15:30D. Neborak50111199103O. Shkurupii3758111122
WAug 29 · 14:30D. Neborak364111383O. Shkurupii321161141
LAug 16 · 09:30D. Neborak316411101O. Shkurupii4111117123
WAug 16 · 04:30D. Neborak43111110113O. Shkurupii33851281
LAug 15 · 15:30D. Neborak2691070O. Shkurupii331112103
LAug 15 · 14:30D. Neborak247890O. Shkurupii331111113
WAug 2 · 08:30D. Neborak331111113O. Shkurupii226970
WAug 2 · 06:00D. Neborak331111113O. Shkurupii249780
D. Neborak10
LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080WSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103LSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191LSep 5 · 15:25D. Neborak2.63111115972R. Cherevko1.44981711103WSep 5 · 14:25R. Reznychenko4.0093140D. Neborak1.221111163
O. Shkurupii10
LSep 12 · 14:00O. Zhurba1.30111122O. Shkurupii3.406620LAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380LAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100LAug 30 · 07:30O. Shkurupii1.67113110D. Neborak2.101115133WAug 30 · 06:30D. Neborak2.25101111131O. Shkurupii1.5712138153LAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113LAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113LAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:30O. Shkurupii1.5758111122D. Neborak2.25111199103
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