TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116803
Played Sep 12Finished
Yevhen Masko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11131311911711––
Roman Cherevko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeYevhen Masko to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhen Masko above · Roman Cherevko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 86 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Yevhen Masko at 59.3%
86 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Masko 151–93 Roman Cherevko Roman Cherevko has won 93 of their 244 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:54What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Masko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
151-93 in 244
Masko
Wrong
gap of 58 in 244, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Masko 1692 vs Cherevko 1695
Cherevko
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Masko 60% vs Cherevko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Masko 50% vs Cherevko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Masko -2 · Cherevko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Masko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cherevko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMasko 1.67 / Cherevko 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Masko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13116803
Masko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 140 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it99% 84 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it90% 113 of 125
Cherevko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 70 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMasko7wins
AwayCherevko3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMasko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMasko100%6 of 6
AwayCherevko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Masko6Cherevko4n = 10Masko took 6 of 10
S2Masko7Cherevko3n = 10Masko took 7 of 10
S3Masko5Cherevko5n = 10split evenly
S4Masko3Cherevko1n = 4Masko took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaskoCherevkoM − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match34.631.8+2.8per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaskoCherevkoBasisWin rate · lifetime428 / 749 vs 381 / 74257.1%51.4%428 / 749 vs 381 / 742Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaskoMasko 1.67/Cherevko 2.10
Miss
What we said
56.2%
Masko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cherevko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 01:25Y. Masko351113113R. Cherevko2881190
LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko229670R. Cherevko331111113
WSep 5 · 17:25Y. Masko4211119113R. Cherevko36791191
WSep 5 · 02:55Y. Masko341111123R. Cherevko2468100
WAug 29 · 18:55Y. Masko331111113R. Cherevko216870
WAug 28 · 21:25Y. Masko47861111113R. Cherevko4111116762
LAug 23 · 20:25Y. Masko30121080R. Cherevko371412113
WAug 22 · 17:55Y. Masko331111113R. Cherevko259880
LAug 22 · 02:25Y. Masko344119101R. Cherevko4111711123
WAug 15 · 16:25Y. Masko3611113113R. Cherevko32881151
Y. Masko10
WSep 12 · 15:55V. Melnik1.83817110Y. Masko1.831119133LSep 12 · 03:55V. Melnik1.731111113Y. Masko2.007980LSep 12 · 02:55R. Reznychenko3.2513611143Y. Masko1.3311119121WSep 12 · 01:25R. Cherevko2.3881190Y. Masko1.531113113WSep 11 · 23:25E. Pismenniy3.00101151142Y. Masko1.36129118113WSep 11 · 21:25A. Tuzhylin1.44781151Y. Masko2.6311115113LSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113WSep 6 · 18:25V. Melnik1.831011891Y. Masko1.8312211113LSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 15:25Y. Masko1.331111113R. Reznychenko3.258970
R. Cherevko10
LSep 12 · 15:25R. Cherevko1.6180R. Reznychenko2.20111WSep 12 · 03:25A. Tuzhylin1.40910100R. Cherevko2.751112123WSep 12 · 02:25R. Cherevko1.4011148113E. Pismenniy2.758121151LSep 12 · 01:25R. Cherevko2.3881190Y. Masko1.531113113LSep 11 · 23:55R. Cherevko1.808990V. Melnik1.911111113WSep 11 · 21:55R. Cherevko1.5710121111113R. Reznychenko2.2512146982WSep 6 · 20:25Y. Masko1.679670R. Cherevko2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:55R. Cherevko1.676111071R. Reznychenko2.1011712113LSep 6 · 16:55E. Pismenniy2.50511511113R. Cherevko1.5011611652LSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532
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